Spike bucket
07/31/2026, 2:50:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/31/2026, 2:50:00 A.M. to 07/31/2026, 2:51:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
66% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,969.8
Unexplained QUAI: 1,508.52
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 21% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
0.7x previous minute
1.4x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
10
Observable rows
8
80.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
4,478.32 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + medium confidence + 4478 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 35
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 07/31/2026, 2:50:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (34% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,688.79 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,281.01 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x005a0701d5111De546C5614A04C8eA96EB2CCA0D
Net receiver
Unknown type
634.61 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007fFD6fd12e6F07B0775BB9D5636187ceD192a1
Net receiver
Unknown type
523.89 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005Ac3a9d3b01e2C5b7745AAd6C4C3Af0d120718
Net receiver
Unknown type
464.54 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
10 tx
4,478.32 QUAI • 20 addresses
07/31/2026, 2:50:25 A.M.
-1 min
10 tx
6,033.68 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/31/2026, 2:49:14 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate32 tx
56,727.07 QUAI • 43 addresses
07/31/2026, 2:48:02 A.M.
+2 min
9 tx
3,231.23 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/31/2026, 2:51:36 A.M.
-3 min
6 tx
4,738.15 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/31/2026, 2:46:51 A.M.
+3 min
9 tx
10,083.88 QUAI • 20 addresses
07/31/2026, 2:52:47 A.M.
-4 min
8 tx
3,504.76 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/31/2026, 2:45:40 A.M.
+4 min
14 tx
8,352.39 QUAI • 24 addresses
07/31/2026, 2:53:59 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
634.61 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 2:50:16 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005a0701d5111De546C5614A04C8eA96EB2CCA0D
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
339.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 2:50:56 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005b0F3Cf33EEd139a12a653Bd6f76B2249fB035
Tx: 0x0055005b7073fe03b8c41a1847d3f6981e1dd78f30bd12d93f787006a0132a81
290.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 2:50:56 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x005Db301c7B1aE54d124b6767471b2a364d1B377
Tx: 0x0032000a2072f020a1362cfde0d397dd902d69d57979981ae7256f68d32582d9
214.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 2:50:50 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x005CDA9Ffe6321216a0451A519cdc79CD441b521
Tx: 0x000f005b4b1d323689d58dbf92a269fb9628a6b704f9e3305a0c3bceb3dce178
250.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 2:50:50 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005AE28E0163Ba0d77cDC2eB96C44619bFf939d3
Tx: 0x00040062814b3e9daa9904d2c6f3dede4518fff8f6be89f24796ca6edccc8a96
251.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 2:50:20 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x005bE0CA2f8Ee1554C9BC3332EfF511C01a5Fc02
Tx: 0x003b00763fdcb1b7790eaa11fe73b771b18babfc5acedf33b0ec825b9a9ca424
464.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 2:50:20 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005Ac3a9d3b01e2C5b7745AAd6C4C3Af0d120718
Tx: 0x0065007cbaa04094d7ed677fbfcb608428ad1894b5da8cc911b3e2ed41fc6aff
523.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 2:50:16 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x007fFD6fd12e6F07B0775BB9D5636187ceD192a1
Tx: 0x007e007b3fba22ce153489e1d8ffa9b6c2697c92b58e169eb1a45bff1ac82bfb
634.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 2:50:16 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005a0701d5111De546C5614A04C8eA96EB2CCA0D
Tx: 0x003f005326d53d2a65db255c5b2da9d96b0a2238baed1a02c3e1dffd53044bd1
