Spike bucket
07/31/2026, 2:21:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/31/2026, 2:21:00 A.M. to 07/31/2026, 2:22:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
50% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,829.74
Unexplained QUAI: 1,827.33
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 62% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
0.5x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
10
Observable rows
6
60.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
3,657.08 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x006f384FE26595A4AF5F86115D2B3cACaB220FDc.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 3657 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x006f384FE26595A4AF5F86115D2B3cACaB220FDc.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 07/31/2026, 2:21:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (50% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (50%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,382.91 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x006f384FE26595A4AF5F86115D2B3cACaB220FDc
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,141.86 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
278.09 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x006f5A581C7Bfdbe150D1c1CA90fFc18Dc1fc721
Net receiver
Unknown type
241.05 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0021B171e383D2fE95dF2642Fc4B3d707b9540e1
Net receiver
Unknown type
184.36 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate34 tx
34,391.68 QUAI • 42 addresses
07/31/2026, 2:20:40 A.M.
+1 min
10 tx
3,657.08 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/31/2026, 2:21:54 A.M.
-2 min
14 tx
7,318.56 QUAI • 24 addresses
07/31/2026, 2:19:29 A.M.
+2 min
9 tx
3,396.22 QUAI • 21 addresses
07/31/2026, 2:23:05 A.M.
-3 min
9 tx
2,024.37 QUAI • 22 addresses
07/31/2026, 2:18:18 A.M.
+3 min
12 tx
2,749.78 QUAI • 21 addresses
07/31/2026, 2:24:15 A.M.
-4 min
31 tx
9,400.46 QUAI • 40 addresses
07/31/2026, 2:17:06 A.M.
+4 min
14 tx
14,510.22 QUAI • 20 addresses
07/31/2026, 2:25:26 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,141.86 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 2:21:00 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x006f384FE26595A4AF5F86115D2B3cACaB220FDc
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
102.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 2:21:46 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x003Ae0bBb0BA9B92C0C6f21C68f34a30D0122402
Tx: 0x0030006970fb1188728c0dcf1c6f51493a1f09c84dc35f5b25cb2a89cf219cf9
184.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 2:21:46 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0021B171e383D2fE95dF2642Fc4B3d707b9540e1
Tx: 0x0029002bd8651d2e87cc3214b33026a31e778a8f399a49832e4fee25b9161716
241.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 2:21:46 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x006f5A581C7Bfdbe150D1c1CA90fFc18Dc1fc721
Tx: 0x000300185579c5cfa5e5869ef3eb2c8582007262594ec6a727f5cc8fc407e7d9
93.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 2:21:00 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00217e00Ae073797133E735ad77E7C14d0C18F92
Tx: 0x0034007a22659e7baa4a48d182da3c79e6f179635f8a2db65a30a17dfe10888e
66.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 2:21:00 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x003AcC63Bd5026DFA08032d064f158A912175009
Tx: 0x00020045bd4847bcdc7c173f6a1c51e35c839c31b1627dac6d9938e7fea8a0c7
1,141.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 2:21:00 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x006f384FE26595A4AF5F86115D2B3cACaB220FDc
Tx: 0x0033002bdd1363ca87d5d6f183527c93ea915cd33daaaa407e4b308eea35a07e