Spike bucket
07/31/2026, 2:10:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/31/2026, 2:10:00 A.M. to 07/31/2026, 2:11:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,571.07
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 64% of explained volume
Relative context
1.7x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
9
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
3,571.07 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00038C714ec5d5d0EA8e6615c1e24Ce3d53de5D8 • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 3571 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00038C714ec5d5d0EA8e6615c1e24Ce3d53de5D8 • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/31/2026, 2:10:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00038C714ec5d5d0EA8e6615c1e24Ce3d53de5D8
Net sender
Unknown type
2,290.17 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
2,290.17 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
539.78 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
489.57 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0002AA250aFb2ced3e164E0a0CF9465CEa79DEc2
Net receiver
Unknown type
363.79 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 2,290.17 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
167.42 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/31/2026, 2:09:55 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/31/2026, 2:08:45 A.M.
+1 min
9 tx
3,571.07 QUAI • 21 addresses
07/31/2026, 2:11:07 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/31/2026, 2:07:35 A.M.
+2 min
14 tx
6,233.25 QUAI • 23 addresses
07/31/2026, 2:12:18 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate7 tx
7,309.37 QUAI • 20 addresses
07/31/2026, 2:13:29 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
10 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/31/2026, 2:06:24 A.M.
-5 min
1 tx
5 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/31/2026, 2:05:14 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,290.17 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 2:10:35 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00038C714ec5d5d0EA8e6615c1e24Ce3d53de5D8
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
42.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 2:10:42 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00053E51Da95b090F835980f43758e4CCcFBf483
Tx: 0x00350031ce78b90c5fcae8157b86acbe3e40aa859acc9b3736fab721d9707c3c
274.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 2:10:42 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0001704Ef00CF7BD4566E1D9B4c343B8c2e27b5c
Tx: 0x0046002cdc9fa1ebf8fa30014db8da00b5c2fa02d1dc834632c2545795927e79
363.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 2:10:42 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0002AA250aFb2ced3e164E0a0CF9465CEa79DEc2
Tx: 0x0017007bfdb0cbe57e71b7724167b0a29abfa4b7fb6eff8be82677c552dc32f0
75.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 2:10:35 A.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x00427b38053EE7aFF320dEa9a0B9CC5fA4cDEB5C
Tx: 0x00300045b7160ee3a60ff2d7bf7187eba61c1fe23594c25290e5a6a9b2d8349b
175.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 2:10:35 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x000241bE7EB39d033f74629F31967280D3C4A383
Tx: 0x0036007feb4069da465c074893f91af503eb5614a2ad423ab36afd865e37fcea
214.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 2:10:35 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00001F89242De86f43840E10678c0e36CcF7E590
Tx: 0x007e004a0d4c5942fc4ea559abcfe3f7f736da5a5a65d84635312977858cdc0b
74.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 2:10:35 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0002B456145ffE686Ad32360fFe4b81902d58807
Tx: 0x00740040c7fc81ea84fb457b271909f50be211387e9b947a14a44b5f827c5268
2,290.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 2:10:35 A.M.
From: 0x00038C714ec5d5d0EA8e6615c1e24Ce3d53de5D8
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003b006368ef442bfcb5451a8440124c2cb9837fabe08daff4ffc7c5f1ee7b8a
59.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 2:10:35 A.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0037F72D85cDF7527e64d9C19609976003540B90
Tx: 0x00680034e1af5e362d54e54c01afbee1f9a775dae809107d59b1f3b22396831b