Spike bucket
07/31/2026, 1:52:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/31/2026, 1:52:00 A.M. to 07/31/2026, 1:53:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 25,071.33
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 80% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
203.46 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 203 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/31/2026, 1:52:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
Net sender
Unknown type
5,007.17 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
5,007.17 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
Net sender
Unknown type
65.11 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 5,007.17 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
203.46 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/31/2026, 1:52:20 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/31/2026, 1:51:09 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/31/2026, 1:49:59 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate3 tx
25,071.33 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/31/2026, 1:53:30 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
5,340.9 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/31/2026, 1:48:48 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
19,999.06 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/31/2026, 1:54:40 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/31/2026, 1:47:37 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/31/2026, 1:55:51 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.06 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 1:52:53 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
5,007.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 1:52:53 A.M.
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003d0002a006afdf5dace9038003bb9ab6316142009fb0b5b2bceb3fdffd1fbf
19,999.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 1:52:53 A.M.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x001e003daa2855b4f05d97766969654e87c796cf0e865cdc60ac8caad6d6ddd5
65.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 1:52:40 A.M.
From: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
To: 0x002d8f38990b571B026d0Ff3905E481069Aae023
Tx: 0x007a0047e1f0bb5c956765e0a2e1f5ea1738089c6b9c963c8ef4c2b1bde75ee9