Spike bucket
07/31/2026, 1:38:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/31/2026, 1:38:00 A.M. to 07/31/2026, 1:39:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
9% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 12.86
Unexplained QUAI: 123.87
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 48% of explained volume
Relative context
1.6x above local average
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
11
Observable rows
3
27.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
23
Asset volume
136.73 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x000Ddec2aDbe15C20b25198596a3BfB0DD59f973.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 137 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x000Ddec2aDbe15C20b25198596a3BfB0DD59f973.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/31/2026, 1:38:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (91% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (9%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
11.86 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x000Ddec2aDbe15C20b25198596a3BfB0DD59f973
Net sender
Unknown type
6.12 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
Net sender
Unknown type
5.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0043fa6E5978bA4A6bd3Cf52e17868a602E5abFF
Net sender
Unknown type
1 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0008159eF6d55C4e0Ddb6D6fC8b6095a45C58144
Net receiver
Unknown type
1 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
11 tx
136.73 QUAI • 23 addresses
07/31/2026, 1:38:13 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/31/2026, 1:37:03 A.M.
+1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/31/2026, 1:39:25 A.M.
-2 min
3 tx
20 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/31/2026, 1:35:52 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
50 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/31/2026, 1:34:42 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
100 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/31/2026, 1:40:35 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate1 tx
372.68 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/31/2026, 1:33:32 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
5 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/31/2026, 1:41:46 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
6.12 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 1:38:09 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x000Ddec2aDbe15C20b25198596a3BfB0DD59f973
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
6.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 1:38:09 A.M.
From: 0x000Ddec2aDbe15C20b25198596a3BfB0DD59f973
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x002a007b4e75026dff18639205fdd60c647da600bbead811ac638d954ea1df27
5.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 1:38:09 A.M.
From: 0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0032006a18f993cbbcd750c5926e7c070a693acd9956001d22f1ffe8896bdb9e
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 1:38:09 A.M.
From: 0x0043fa6E5978bA4A6bd3Cf52e17868a602E5abFF
To: 0x0008159eF6d55C4e0Ddb6D6fC8b6095a45C58144
Tx: 0x000c001cf93b56d1ceda8a5205ffce1e3fbaabd4905dc0da8de328d56b3cf89f