Spike bucket
07/31/2026, 1:35:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/31/2026, 1:35:00 A.M. to 07/31/2026, 1:36:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
75% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 15
Unexplained QUAI: 5
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 67% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
0.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
2
66.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
20 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x003D2640393d6d2422c3B00849b8b539BB8D1688 • 0x0043fa6E5978bA4A6bd3Cf52e17868a602E5abFF.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + medium confidence + 20 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x003D2640393d6d2422c3B00849b8b539BB8D1688 • 0x0043fa6E5978bA4A6bd3Cf52e17868a602E5abFF.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 07/31/2026, 1:35:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (25% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x003D2640393d6d2422c3B00849b8b539BB8D1688
Net sender
Unknown type
15 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0043fa6E5978bA4A6bd3Cf52e17868a602E5abFF
Net receiver
Unknown type
10 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005e0538F24a4424a1732F0fae71025C7355Ec12
Net receiver
Unknown type
5 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
50 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/31/2026, 1:34:42 A.M.
-1 min
Best candidate1 tx
372.68 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/31/2026, 1:33:32 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
20 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/31/2026, 1:35:52 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/31/2026, 1:37:03 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/31/2026, 1:32:22 A.M.
+3 min
11 tx
136.73 QUAI • 23 addresses
07/31/2026, 1:38:13 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
3.62 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/31/2026, 1:31:11 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/31/2026, 1:39:25 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
10 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 1:35:34 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x003D2640393d6d2422c3B00849b8b539BB8D1688
To: 0x0043fa6E5978bA4A6bd3Cf52e17868a602E5abFF
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
10 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 1:35:34 A.M.
From: 0x003D2640393d6d2422c3B00849b8b539BB8D1688
To: 0x0043fa6E5978bA4A6bd3Cf52e17868a602E5abFF
Tx: 0x0013001a39bf2e6c7a2928ba1ea3476bb17e6c7fb56961d9e64cb2860a5eb612
5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 1:35:24 A.M.
From: 0x003D2640393d6d2422c3B00849b8b539BB8D1688
To: 0x005e0538F24a4424a1732F0fae71025C7355Ec12
Tx: 0x0030006d88feb9ac0d0497cae053e18ae10937af936d2981b9d17ac75ba56429
