Spike bucket
07/31/2026, 1:26:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/31/2026, 1:26:00 A.M. to 07/31/2026, 1:27:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 20,312.03
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 98% of explained volume
Relative context
7.9x above local average
211x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
20,216 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 20216 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/31/2026, 1:26:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
20,216 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.72 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0072DF620c41F7aBD07F7fceC52feb044e3D4d62
Net sender
Unknown type
115.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003d0e7E89a10Bbc732f6b91F824Ec9146946Ac5
Net sender
Unknown type
102.21 QUAI across 1 visible row
Gate.io hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
96.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 20,216 QUAI
From exchange: 96.03 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate3 tx
20,216 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/31/2026, 1:26:29 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/31/2026, 1:25:18 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/31/2026, 1:24:08 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
96.03 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/31/2026, 1:27:40 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/31/2026, 1:22:58 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/31/2026, 1:21:48 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
101 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/31/2026, 1:30:00 A.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/31/2026, 1:20:37 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,998.72 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 1:26:00 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
96.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 1:26:29 A.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86
Tx: 0x00670072b5b9f5353dfa5a336ea19be4b336fe53e87e23b709e836b5fe393bbf
19,998.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 1:26:00 A.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004e004d08ba1a2ab08364a78c7f8a27a8b272eaec800d478023e4431d8891f1
102.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 1:26:00 A.M.
From: 0x003d0e7E89a10Bbc732f6b91F824Ec9146946Ac5
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007e001f7cb58e880034778fb4f28a7132a3eaee9ac8a74d2d1bfe52a2bb5fb0
115.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 1:26:00 A.M.
From: 0x0072DF620c41F7aBD07F7fceC52feb044e3D4d62
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0061002f274935c5858ceb142096ca994dff8adeb5b512320cf11f789824a455