Spike bucket
07/31/2026, 1:17:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/31/2026, 1:17:00 A.M. to 07/31/2026, 1:18:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
1% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 34.92
Unexplained QUAI: 4,757.29
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 20% of explained volume
Relative context
1.3x above local average
1.0x previous minute
104x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
29
Observable rows
6
20.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
41
Asset volume
4,792.22 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x00242627257ce56AB5F2535baE0718509f654e4f.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 4792 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x00242627257ce56AB5F2535baE0718509f654e4f.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/31/2026, 1:17:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (99% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (1%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
34.92 QUAI across 6 visible rows
0x00242627257ce56AB5F2535baE0718509f654e4f
Net sender
Unknown type
7.12 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
Net sender
Unknown type
6.61 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002FF3BF8a0F2616e264868A64886C15eb911C6C
Net sender
Unknown type
6.21 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006218653c98DeE29002F0d26DBf7b20Fcdca27b
Net sender
Unknown type
5.65 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
29 tx
4,792.22 QUAI • 41 addresses
07/31/2026, 1:17:04 A.M.
-1 min
52 tx
4,930.99 QUAI • 64 addresses
07/31/2026, 1:15:53 A.M.
+1 min
7 tx
45.92 QUAI • 21 addresses
07/31/2026, 1:18:17 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/31/2026, 1:14:43 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate1 tx
19,999.05 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/31/2026, 1:19:27 A.M.
-3 min
52 tx
793.53 QUAI • 65 addresses
07/31/2026, 1:13:31 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/31/2026, 1:20:37 A.M.
-5 min
1 tx
35 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/31/2026, 1:12:21 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
7.12 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 1:17:37 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00242627257ce56AB5F2535baE0718509f654e4f
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
4.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 1:17:37 A.M.
From: 0x005182a1cAa86CB99209A4Ba3B3239971BEEA866
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00050030d5a762df4de8936f787762fab993e078e9f63d260cac749198386b4f
7.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 1:17:37 A.M.
From: 0x00242627257ce56AB5F2535baE0718509f654e4f
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0010003f4cef30b2a2cae17bf33d0faddace6e63449df8cc21e9d12efc6f7d0a
5.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 1:17:37 A.M.
From: 0x006218653c98DeE29002F0d26DBf7b20Fcdca27b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00650052993d0b34add0c8603f2182792a1525298070078235d96907ab8530ec
4.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 1:17:37 A.M.
From: 0x000Ddec2aDbe15C20b25198596a3BfB0DD59f973
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x001700214da05d1495543dd455f3d739781ab31aaf40aa745dbc89003051b0d7
6.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 1:17:37 A.M.
From: 0x002FF3BF8a0F2616e264868A64886C15eb911C6C
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x000f001a1bcf92ba0da4acf5464c4cc30ed557856ed7dc8103be288c1a4a4d97
6.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 1:17:37 A.M.
From: 0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00470006ce0244bce083e260d4439835e6bf8fd78c15f35c3c845b4d02d08036