Spike bucket
07/31/2026, 12:18:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/31/2026, 12:18:00 A.M. to 07/31/2026, 12:19:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
35% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,050.78
Unexplained QUAI: 1,961.25
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 96% of explained volume
Relative context
0.9x above local average
0.9x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
27
Observable rows
4
14.8% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
44
Asset volume
3,012.03 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00488f0f9478B351C0820c38cC37c5aac3e54386 • 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 3012 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00488f0f9478B351C0820c38cC37c5aac3e54386 • 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/31/2026, 12:18:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (65% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (35%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is miner wallet (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize miner distribution/accumulation checks before mixed-flow hypotheses.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate miner wallet context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies miner wallet context.
Top actors in this event
StratumX miner
Net sender
Miner wallet
1,014 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,014 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Net receiver
Unknown type
26.78 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0061e8518Bbd996F3930504F99d3F8af28B19de9
Net sender
Unknown type
13.7 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
Net sender
Unknown type
13.08 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
5.41 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/31/2026, 12:17:45 A.M.
-1 min
50 tx
3,220.53 QUAI • 62 addresses
07/31/2026, 12:16:35 A.M.
+1 min
27 tx
3,012.03 QUAI • 44 addresses
07/31/2026, 12:18:58 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/31/2026, 12:20:09 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/31/2026, 12:15:24 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
250 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/31/2026, 12:21:19 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate52 tx
20,835.72 QUAI • 62 addresses
07/31/2026, 12:14:13 A.M.
-5 min
1 tx
112.6 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/31/2026, 12:13:02 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,014 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 12:18:42 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: StratumX miner
0x00488f0f9478B351C0820c38cC37c5aac3e54386
Miner wallet
To: 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
1,014 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 12:18:42 A.M.
From: StratumX miner
0x00488f0f9478B351C0820c38cC37c5aac3e54386
Miner wallet
To: 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
Tx: 0x00360057c6dce22bbf05dddf8b7bd37d75b5e0da3fc064b07feeb4aa6abe4cc2
10 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 12:18:42 A.M.
From: 0x007aF3609bd06F933596Fa7375C9Ec13a02A9C31
To: 0x0003ea9DaF38DA18AD3951f5E07F258F4544Ba11
Tx: 0x0015006b63c8d407069cc4946d0f829cf91c8312fadc62ff46a3cfe616c16287
13.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 12:18:05 A.M.
From: 0x0061e8518Bbd996F3930504F99d3F8af28B19de9
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x00580075816c660f0fcc76ef08ecb2f0df909f4e1db40bb4a17a4997ca4d17db
13.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 12:18:05 A.M.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x007f0026a5e35ddf07c0ae49cc030e10218f78fdc21381cd683a9f4c2283bd05
