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Spike bucket

07/31/2026, 12:18:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 07/31/2026, 12:18:00 A.M. to 07/31/2026, 12:19:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
35% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,050.78
Unexplained QUAI: 1,961.25
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 96% of explained volume
Relative context
0.9x above local average
0.9x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
27
Observable rows
4
14.8% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
44
Asset volume
3,012.03 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00488f0f9478B351C0820c38cC37c5aac3e54386 • 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 3012 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00488f0f9478B351C0820c38cC37c5aac3e54386 • 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidenceSource coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context windowThin source coverage
Last updated: 07/31/2026, 12:18:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (65% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (35%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is miner wallet (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize miner distribution/accumulation checks before mixed-flow hypotheses.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
  • Validate miner wallet context using label/source evidence.
  • Identity hint: Explicit label identifies miner wallet context.

Top actors in this event

StratumX miner
Net sender
Miner wallet
1,014 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,014 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Net receiver
Unknown type
26.78 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0061e8518Bbd996F3930504F99d3F8af28B19de9
Net sender
Unknown type
13.7 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
Net sender
Unknown type
13.08 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

4 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 27. The remaining 23 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.

Biggest whale alert

1,014 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 12:18:42 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: StratumX miner
0x00488f0f9478B351C0820c38cC37c5aac3e54386
Miner wallet
To: 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca

All transfers in this selected minute

4 transactions
1,014 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 12:18:42 A.M.
From: StratumX miner
0x00488f0f9478B351C0820c38cC37c5aac3e54386
Miner wallet
To: 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
Tx: 0x00360057c6dce22bbf05dddf8b7bd37d75b5e0da3fc064b07feeb4aa6abe4cc2
10 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 12:18:42 A.M.
From: 0x007aF3609bd06F933596Fa7375C9Ec13a02A9C31
To: 0x0003ea9DaF38DA18AD3951f5E07F258F4544Ba11
Tx: 0x0015006b63c8d407069cc4946d0f829cf91c8312fadc62ff46a3cfe616c16287
13.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 12:18:05 A.M.
From: 0x0061e8518Bbd996F3930504F99d3F8af28B19de9
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x00580075816c660f0fcc76ef08ecb2f0df909f4e1db40bb4a17a4997ca4d17db
13.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 12:18:05 A.M.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x007f0026a5e35ddf07c0ae49cc030e10218f78fdc21381cd683a9f4c2283bd05