Spike bucket
07/31/2026, 12:02:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/31/2026, 12:02:00 A.M. to 07/31/2026, 12:03:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
56% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 201
Unexplained QUAI: 155.62
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
1.7x above local average
1.8x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
356.62 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x003D2640393d6d2422c3B00849b8b539BB8D1688 • 0x003b50Ab3Dfe23e7D7165FD5a5622cA3481976CD.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 357 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x003D2640393d6d2422c3B00849b8b539BB8D1688 • 0x003b50Ab3Dfe23e7D7165FD5a5622cA3481976CD.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 07/31/2026, 12:02:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (44% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (56%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x003D2640393d6d2422c3B00849b8b539BB8D1688
Net sender
Unknown type
200 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003b50Ab3Dfe23e7D7165FD5a5622cA3481976CD
Net receiver
Unknown type
200 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00256a383f1c3403CEFe923B1E515603EB97d6E6
Net sender
Unknown type
1 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0008159eF6d55C4e0Ddb6D6fC8b6095a45C58144
Net receiver
Unknown type
1 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
356.62 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/31/2026, 12:02:26 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/31/2026, 12:01:15 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/31/2026, 12:00:05 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
200 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/31/2026, 12:03:37 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/30/2026, 11:58:55 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/31/2026, 12:04:47 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate1 tx
1,109.64 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/30/2026, 11:57:44 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/31/2026, 12:05:59 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
200 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 12:02:53 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x003D2640393d6d2422c3B00849b8b539BB8D1688
To: 0x003b50Ab3Dfe23e7D7165FD5a5622cA3481976CD
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
200 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 12:02:53 A.M.
From: 0x003D2640393d6d2422c3B00849b8b539BB8D1688
To: 0x003b50Ab3Dfe23e7D7165FD5a5622cA3481976CD
Tx: 0x007d007e47aecacea033f9eac23c65bb903d39c679d1d4386e53c976d4341baa
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 12:02:24 A.M.
From: 0x00256a383f1c3403CEFe923B1E515603EB97d6E6
To: 0x0008159eF6d55C4e0Ddb6D6fC8b6095a45C58144
Tx: 0x001e000c7d3823cd0697081f9926a029135f54ab1a3a2f6bff4438ea799b1046