Spike bucket
07/30/2026, 8:19:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/30/2026, 8:19:00 P.M. to 07/30/2026, 8:20:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
100% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,162.22
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 0
Unexplained QI: 336.91
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 37% of explained volume
Relative context
1.7x above local average
0.6x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
7
87.5% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
1,162.22 QUAI
336.91 QI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0045316B15E36325944E81100Ce302d4d91154e6.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + medium confidence + 1162 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0045316B15E36325944E81100Ce302d4d91154e6.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/30/2026, 8:19:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
1,162.22 QUAI across 7 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0045316B15E36325944E81100Ce302d4d91154e6
Net sender
Unknown type
429.66 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004D8ac7BB11Ca88A8687C0f6cc522C3F3832Aa6
Net sender
Unknown type
135.24 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Net sender
Unknown type
129.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007e7eecbe669d04C5687cF90692Bd58554Ed18d
Net sender
Unknown type
125.54 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 1,162.22 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
15.34 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/30/2026, 8:18:37 P.M.
+1 min
8 tx
1,162.22 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/30/2026, 8:19:48 P.M.
-2 min
22 tx
1,934.48 QUAI • 38 addresses
07/30/2026, 8:17:26 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/30/2026, 8:20:58 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate52 tx
2,110.29 QUAI • 64 addresses
07/30/2026, 8:16:15 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/30/2026, 8:22:09 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/30/2026, 8:15:04 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
400 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/30/2026, 8:23:22 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
429.66 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/30/2026, 8:19:44 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0045316B15E36325944E81100Ce302d4d91154e6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
111.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/30/2026, 8:19:44 P.M.
From: 0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00280020acb94a405da49eac21f9dba3d0067f0075cd8152521849e7c337e28c
108.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/30/2026, 8:19:44 P.M.
From: 0x00562B64de2b7324ceB63d7d59eF7472b172cF34
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0058000668bbb9306f18663888548974237b9a0d14457b8d4ee73e3d2ea1ecf7
125.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/30/2026, 8:19:44 P.M.
From: 0x007e7eecbe669d04C5687cF90692Bd58554Ed18d
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00290055dc6673c659795f8165c0364de544c4cf86af6b1b68a4eb19254a8f7d
429.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/30/2026, 8:19:44 P.M.
From: 0x0045316B15E36325944E81100Ce302d4d91154e6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00560004d0acac2f36c767176f3b73ef8ea098593b2fe80051c1df33c705b71a
129.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/30/2026, 8:19:44 P.M.
From: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001300169a5133f59801236108d7c84a5e6b6ecced3d43b5cdb119003d515564
135.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/30/2026, 8:19:44 P.M.
From: 0x004D8ac7BB11Ca88A8687C0f6cc522C3F3832Aa6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006d0048ae76facac9c8dfe2c32d8fb484951e26c5d1916d1df1338c7f230fe7
122.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/30/2026, 8:19:44 P.M.
From: 0x006F01531266035955B36D375360aA15F10ED0cf
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0048005dbfad7bea93e536db50f1cc85c0b17d66b0bbcf4590455375b1b08c40
