Spike bucket
07/30/2026, 4:16:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/30/2026, 4:16:00 P.M. to 07/30/2026, 4:17:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
8% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 242.29
Unexplained QUAI: 2,736.2
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 51% of explained volume
Relative context
5.5x above local average
4.3x previous minute
12x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
51
Observable rows
4
7.8% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
69
Asset volume
2,978.49 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 2978 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/30/2026, 4:16:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (92% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (8%)
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
230.45 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Net sender
Unknown type
124.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000a7d40a2081e7aFf84360a746784665280Ca58
Net sender
Unknown type
105.71 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
11.84 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x002FF3BF8a0F2616e264868A64886C15eb911C6C
Net sender
Unknown type
6.56 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 230.45 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate51 tx
2,978.49 QUAI • 69 addresses
07/30/2026, 4:16:00 P.M.
-1 min
51 tx
697.98 QUAI • 63 addresses
07/30/2026, 4:14:49 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
242.29 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/30/2026, 4:17:11 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
50.34 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/30/2026, 4:13:38 P.M.
+2 min
3 tx
343.1 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/30/2026, 4:18:22 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/30/2026, 4:12:27 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/30/2026, 4:19:34 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/30/2026, 4:11:16 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
124.75 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/30/2026, 4:16:41 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
124.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/30/2026, 4:16:41 P.M.
From: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001b001d95b0a383898fe60770ebf2aec8ea5496349194edaea084d83cd7661b
6.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/30/2026, 4:16:41 P.M.
From: 0x002FF3BF8a0F2616e264868A64886C15eb911C6C
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x004b00284202e29f48f950e92fbc4b661f30043ac4ed98a276fb3af4f7ce2953
105.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/30/2026, 4:16:41 P.M.
From: 0x000a7d40a2081e7aFf84360a746784665280Ca58
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005a001b1f624ce6c65153cb74c3399609bbe1b69ca6967d91bd1572312fb394
5.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/30/2026, 4:16:41 P.M.
From: 0x00051a801E6E9293A8A2d978a80A45AA231a6A8e
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x000a0064bb3cd9184e8dd15c8cb36e293dabca6144fe464ad93b8e4a31756b86