Spike bucket
07/30/2026, 3:47:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/30/2026, 3:47:00 P.M. to 07/30/2026, 3:48:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
36% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 5,180
Unexplained QUAI: 9,020
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
5.7x above local average
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
1
33.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
14,200 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0044755d8BF53308365a791324b7b534d31c4af2 • 0x0038f0Ff6c565Fab30980Cc223016D65Fb0d8dCa.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 14200 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0044755d8BF53308365a791324b7b534d31c4af2 • 0x0038f0Ff6c565Fab30980Cc223016D65Fb0d8dCa.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 visible transfer row
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/30/2026, 3:47:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (64% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 transfer row • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (36%)
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0044755d8BF53308365a791324b7b534d31c4af2
Net sender
Unknown type
5,180 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0038f0Ff6c565Fab30980Cc223016D65Fb0d8dCa
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,180 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/30/2026, 3:46:25 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate3 tx
14,200 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/30/2026, 3:47:37 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
1 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/30/2026, 3:45:14 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
219.52 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/30/2026, 3:48:48 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/30/2026, 3:44:04 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
5,601.19 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/30/2026, 3:49:59 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/30/2026, 3:42:53 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/30/2026, 3:51:15 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
5,180 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/30/2026, 3:47:13 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0044755d8BF53308365a791324b7b534d31c4af2
To: 0x0038f0Ff6c565Fab30980Cc223016D65Fb0d8dCa
All transfers in this selected minute
1 transactions
5,180 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/30/2026, 3:47:13 P.M.
From: 0x0044755d8BF53308365a791324b7b534d31c4af2
To: 0x0038f0Ff6c565Fab30980Cc223016D65Fb0d8dCa
Tx: 0x003f00497ad15a5bead04865b11c8765538bd7d1e7573928538fd0ec1c078190
