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Spike bucket

07/30/2026, 3:47:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 07/30/2026, 3:47:00 P.M. to 07/30/2026, 3:48:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
36% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 5,180
Unexplained QUAI: 9,020
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
5.7x above local average
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
1
33.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
14,200 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0044755d8BF53308365a791324b7b534d31c4af2 • 0x0038f0Ff6c565Fab30980Cc223016D65Fb0d8dCa.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 14200 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0044755d8BF53308365a791324b7b534d31c4af2 • 0x0038f0Ff6c565Fab30980Cc223016D65Fb0d8dCa.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidenceSource coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 visible transfer row
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • Moderate freshness drift
Aging contextThin source coverage
Last updated: 07/30/2026, 3:47:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (64% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 transfer row • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (36%)
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x0044755d8BF53308365a791324b7b534d31c4af2
Net sender
Unknown type
5,180 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0038f0Ff6c565Fab30980Cc223016D65Fb0d8dCa
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,180 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

1 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 3. The remaining 2 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.

Biggest whale alert

5,180 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/30/2026, 3:47:13 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0044755d8BF53308365a791324b7b534d31c4af2
To: 0x0038f0Ff6c565Fab30980Cc223016D65Fb0d8dCa

All transfers in this selected minute

1 transactions
5,180 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/30/2026, 3:47:13 P.M.
From: 0x0044755d8BF53308365a791324b7b534d31c4af2
To: 0x0038f0Ff6c565Fab30980Cc223016D65Fb0d8dCa
Tx: 0x003f00497ad15a5bead04865b11c8765538bd7d1e7573928538fd0ec1c078190