Spike bucket
07/30/2026, 3:38:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/30/2026, 3:38:00 P.M. to 07/30/2026, 3:39:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
3% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 300
Unexplained QUAI: 10,300
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
7.5x above local average
203x previous minute
35x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
1
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
10,600 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002d4Bb0111628D1C70c1c7ed35C782043866CAf • 0x007800185B6200d70B8AEDD54A883AE1B2864b91.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 10600 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002d4Bb0111628D1C70c1c7ed35C782043866CAf • 0x007800185B6200d70B8AEDD54A883AE1B2864b91.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 visible transfer row
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/30/2026, 3:38:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (97% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 transfer row • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (3%)
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002d4Bb0111628D1C70c1c7ed35C782043866CAf
Net sender
Unknown type
300 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007800185B6200d70B8AEDD54A883AE1B2864b91
Net receiver
Unknown type
300 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate1 tx
10,600 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/30/2026, 3:38:11 P.M.
-1 min
8 tx
52.31 QUAI • 20 addresses
07/30/2026, 3:36:59 P.M.
+1 min
1 tx
300 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/30/2026, 3:39:21 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/30/2026, 3:35:47 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/30/2026, 3:34:36 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/30/2026, 3:40:32 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
299.48 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/30/2026, 3:41:43 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/30/2026, 3:33:26 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
300 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/30/2026, 3:38:13 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002d4Bb0111628D1C70c1c7ed35C782043866CAf
To: 0x007800185B6200d70B8AEDD54A883AE1B2864b91
All transfers in this selected minute
1 transactions
300 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/30/2026, 3:38:13 P.M.
From: 0x002d4Bb0111628D1C70c1c7ed35C782043866CAf
To: 0x007800185B6200d70B8AEDD54A883AE1B2864b91
Tx: 0x003d0028f0680c3e720af6bea01c4f2acf17779e037539868637be13500046d7