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Spike bucket

07/30/2026, 3:13:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 07/30/2026, 3:13:00 P.M. to 07/30/2026, 3:14:00 P.M.

Partially observable spike

medium confidence

100% coverage

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 2,232.87

Unexplained QUAI: 3.13

Explained QI: 0

Unexplained QI: 378.89

Facts

Pattern: Mixed spike

Dominant transfer: 58% of explained volume

Relative context

0.6x above local average

Interpretation

This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.

One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

Observable rows

96.4% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

Asset volume

2,235.99 QUAI

378.89 QI

Avg confidence

62.0%

Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x00239EafE421869111E18D750AE9B1E4eB9608ED.

Dominant behavior: distribution

distribution + medium confidence + 2236 QUAI

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Importance score: 45

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x00239EafE421869111E18D750AE9B1E4eB9608ED.

No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.

Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 53 visible transfer rows

Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default

Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: watch • Moderate freshness drift

Aging context • Broad source coverage

Last updated: 07/30/2026, 3:13:00 P.M.

Coverage gaps appear limited

Based on: 1 related signal • 53 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window

Confidence is moderate: useful context is present, but some recent or cross-source detail may be missing.

Data reliability is mixed; validate conclusions with additional checks before strong decisions.

Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is miner pool (high confidence).

What to do next

Prioritize miner distribution/accumulation checks before mixed-flow hypotheses.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (distribution).
Validate miner pool context using label/source evidence.
Identity hint: Explicit label identifies miner pool context.

Top actors in this event

K1 Mining pool

Net sender

Miner pool

1,304.2 QUAI across 1 visible row

Known watch context

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x00239EafE421869111E18D750AE9B1E4eB9608ED

Net receiver

Unknown type

1,304.2 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da

Net sender

Unknown type

629.24 QUAI across 50 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x0061304e5d4cbaD937dA5e3b041d46DF1D32a087

Net sender

Unknown type

298.43 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

MEXC hot wallet

Net receiver

Exchange

298.43 QUAI across 1 visible row

Known watch context

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs

No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.

Type concentration

To exchange: 298.43 QUAI

From exchange: 0 QUAI

Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Alert context Signal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.

Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source

Cyprus-1 spike

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.

View investigations

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53 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 55. The remaining 2 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.