Spike bucket
07/30/2026, 2:38:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/30/2026, 2:38:00 P.M. to 07/30/2026, 2:39:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
18% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,012.55
Unexplained QUAI: 4,500
Explained QI: 854.37
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
2.7x above local average
0.6x previous minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
3
75.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
5,512.55 QUAI
854.37 QI
Avg confidence
82.0%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164 • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 5513 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164 • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/30/2026, 2:38:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (82% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (18%)
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
Net sender
Unknown type
1,012.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
1,012.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
854.37 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
854.37 QI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 854.37 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 1,012.55 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
5,512.55 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/30/2026, 2:38:22 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate10 tx
9,331.07 QUAI • 23 addresses
07/30/2026, 2:36:57 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/30/2026, 2:35:44 P.M.
+2 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/30/2026, 2:39:34 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/30/2026, 2:34:32 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/30/2026, 2:40:45 P.M.
+4 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/30/2026, 2:41:58 P.M.
-5 min
4 tx
1,271.88 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/30/2026, 2:33:20 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,012.55 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/30/2026, 2:38:15 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
427.18 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/30/2026, 2:38:27 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00130007a1f3a575d187409207e6d83531ed5928af4113f2d29ba1c188faadc9
427.18 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/30/2026, 2:38:27 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0059006dae6e43b925224b10bf49e8a3129f37899fb23e05c6deda6bf252fca2
1,012.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/30/2026, 2:38:15 P.M.
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003c002ab4d0e8316f596db0e219c21e25815094b5031ee2d97f427bded6fcf7