Spike bucket
07/30/2026, 2:03:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/30/2026, 2:03:00 P.M. to 07/30/2026, 2:04:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
49% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 60.69
Unexplained QUAI: 63.47
Explained QI: 523.51
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.4x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
2
66.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
124.15 QUAI
523.51 QI
Avg confidence
77.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 124 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/30/2026, 2:03:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (51% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (49%)
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
523.52 QI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
523.52 QI across 1 visible row
0x006c65b3fA9b5d5A7114F13Ce2BDa87eE8A69Bf4
Net sender
Unknown type
60.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0001B76A8f629974Aff8B55A5af4D3D400DedE81
Net receiver
Unknown type
60.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate6 tx
1,598.26 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/30/2026, 2:02:31 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
124.15 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/30/2026, 2:03:54 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
336.85 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/30/2026, 2:01:19 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
108.04 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/30/2026, 2:05:06 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
974.62 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/30/2026, 2:00:08 P.M.
+3 min
5 tx
0 QUAI • 22 addresses
07/30/2026, 2:06:29 P.M.
-4 min
3 tx
1,317.35 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/30/2026, 1:58:56 P.M.
-5 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/30/2026, 1:57:45 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
523.51 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/30/2026, 2:03:15 P.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
60.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/30/2026, 2:03:37 P.M.
From: 0x006c65b3fA9b5d5A7114F13Ce2BDa87eE8A69Bf4
To: 0x0001B76A8f629974Aff8B55A5af4D3D400DedE81
Tx: 0x003d002d0540d05475f3f6f38cc84dae9c6bbcf6e6de6c54261eb7d3c5e03536
523.51 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/30/2026, 2:03:15 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x004c0065d74a96d8e9ed8202579134fc9428e5d09ff15912aa07dc99be81732b