Spike bucket
07/30/2026, 1:08:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/30/2026, 1:08:00 P.M. to 07/30/2026, 1:09:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
38% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 64.27
Unexplained QUAI: 105.53
Explained QI: 838.9
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.9x above local average
0.3x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
3
60.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
169.8 QUAI
838.9 QI
Avg confidence
82.0%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 170 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • Moderate freshness drift
Aging context • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/30/2026, 1:08:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (62% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (38%)
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
838.91 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
838.91 QI across 2 visible rows
0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F
Net sender
Unknown type
64.27 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0037099C8acF7661094a9E6CAE47d9C3c4C8F7ab
Net receiver
Unknown type
64.27 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 838.9 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
5 tx
586.56 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/30/2026, 1:07:26 P.M.
+1 min
5 tx
169.8 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/30/2026, 1:08:38 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate3 tx
697.64 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/30/2026, 1:06:15 P.M.
+2 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/30/2026, 1:09:50 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/30/2026, 1:05:04 P.M.
+3 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/30/2026, 1:11:01 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/30/2026, 1:03:53 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/30/2026, 1:12:14 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
419.45 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/30/2026, 1:08:06 P.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
419.45 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/30/2026, 1:08:06 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00510049999a1bd4982de3dafbbf84fb7c664012d63cc4c969fe61d21ba3f2ef
419.45 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/30/2026, 1:08:06 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x000100354d9ec964b8ba438eb1b8ec45b81cf0b6016b6d8d69b3dd146cbdf267
64.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/30/2026, 1:08:06 P.M.
From: 0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F
To: 0x0037099C8acF7661094a9E6CAE47d9C3c4C8F7ab
Tx: 0x005c006035e2aa7c8d729c324a032a415efa8aa711fb815cf989b562902f2ada