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Spike bucket

07/30/2026, 11:37:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 07/30/2026, 11:37:00 A.M. to 07/30/2026, 11:38:00 A.M.

Partially observable spike

medium confidence

100% coverage

Whale-driven spike detected

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 22,993.2

Unexplained QUAI: 0

Explained QI: 551.88

Unexplained QI: 0

Facts

Pattern: Whale-driven spike

Dominant transfer: 87% of explained volume

Relative context

0.0x above local average

0.0x next minute

Interpretation

Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.

Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

Observable rows

62.5% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

Asset volume

44.53 QUAI

551.88 QI

Avg confidence

74.0%

Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.

Dominant behavior: whale rotation

whale_rotation + medium confidence + 45 QUAI

Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.

Importance score: 53

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.

0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).

Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow

Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default

Limits: limited transfer depth in current window

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: watch • Moderate freshness drift

Aging context • Broad source coverage

Last updated: 07/30/2026, 11:37:00 A.M.

Coverage gaps appear limited

Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window

Confidence is moderate: useful context is present, but some recent or cross-source detail may be missing.

Data reliability is mixed; validate conclusions with additional checks before strong decisions.

Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.

What to do next

Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b

Net sender

Unknown type

19,999.15 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab

Net receiver

Unknown type

19,999.15 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

MEXC hot wallet

Net receiver

Exchange

2,994.05 QUAI across 2 visible rows

Known watch context

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164

Net sender

Unknown type

1,971.65 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x002C67943dc843c1120de306cf0946B2B0490D07

Net sender

Unknown type

1,022.4 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs

0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2

2 repeated flows • 551.88 QI

Type concentration

To exchange: 2,994.05 QUAI

From exchange: 0 QUAI

Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Alert context Signal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.

Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source

Cyprus-1 spike

Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.

Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.

View investigations

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-15 min -5 min -1 min +1 min +5 min +15 min Raw alerts API

5 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 8. The remaining 3 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.