Spike bucket
07/30/2026, 4:20:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/30/2026, 4:20:00 A.M. to 07/30/2026, 4:21:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,236.8
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 801.65
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 34% of explained volume
Relative context
1.5x above local average
187x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
9
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
1,236.8 QUAI
801.65 QI
Avg confidence
68.7%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 1237 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/30/2026, 4:20:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
1,236.8 QUAI across 7 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
801.66 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
801.66 QI across 2 visible rows
0x00153427831C607E490D6c1B064dF6a41AcA8566
Net sender
Unknown type
414.62 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002937281b637079c3ec22344067C33Cb4912A68
Net sender
Unknown type
206.08 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 801.65 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 1,236.8 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/30/2026, 4:19:46 A.M.
-1 min
6 tx
6.6 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/30/2026, 4:18:36 A.M.
+1 min
9 tx
1,236.8 QUAI • 21 addresses
07/30/2026, 4:20:57 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/30/2026, 4:22:08 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate21 tx
2,750.06 QUAI • 35 addresses
07/30/2026, 4:17:23 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/30/2026, 4:23:19 A.M.
-4 min
56 tx
2,445.09 QUAI • 74 addresses
07/30/2026, 4:16:11 A.M.
-5 min
2 tx
5 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/30/2026, 4:15:00 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
414.62 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/30/2026, 4:20:01 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00153427831C607E490D6c1B064dF6a41AcA8566
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
400.81 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/30/2026, 4:20:48 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x002e0035d01041af087871ea19cc2583797d0ae8ea43007b023576562eb09341
99.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/30/2026, 4:20:21 A.M.
From: 0x00095148E36DA3ca00ADc55DE9a8AF7c0Bc01bd3
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0019006fff3143dea63bd1a3dc52229a9056a1d4f208a547b644666438ebb2aa
98.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/30/2026, 4:20:21 A.M.
From: 0x000cDD7d2F6Ef30215B7f8A8d7c409AdF3935b86
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00790077b1b0714759270d3646890e8a702c37e4f3c36b81d56caf061057026f
115.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/30/2026, 4:20:21 A.M.
From: 0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005c002c4694beca44afd4d9c32274299a9fd24c95c43a0b69150542ed27fb41
103.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/30/2026, 4:20:21 A.M.
From: 0x007f9750AE1B33e97E48F5730134D29dbA0Cc522
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00050075dc7183d6a7a68a06e8eca9f8897e3219cc5f1fca13ed77e7f009ca95
400.83 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/30/2026, 4:20:05 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x001800776b3305a8c4f455dd89ff460f30b29a025c0afe20ec34b4c43192da33
414.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/30/2026, 4:20:01 A.M.
From: 0x00153427831C607E490D6c1B064dF6a41AcA8566
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0033003f3f1321654d57101b9f6d407fe047586ee0a6477e95bbb7b2c05cd832
206.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/30/2026, 4:20:01 A.M.
From: 0x002937281b637079c3ec22344067C33Cb4912A68
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00490038691cd3e3d2c8aba50fdd25222c3f6b43da575fb3cc7ccb1f1f3bb001
198.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/30/2026, 4:20:01 A.M.
From: 0x00207ff1171b4889763af8cc79472d0dA9907FC9
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007800525055fdc0198668fa183795fe066ca8cf24aaf9a8db5102483f3eea50
