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Spike bucket

07/30/2026, 2:26:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 07/30/2026, 2:26:00 A.M. to 07/30/2026, 2:27:00 A.M.

Partially observable spike

medium confidence

94% coverage

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 18,652.23

Unexplained QUAI: 1,131.3

Explained QI: 396.44

Unexplained QI: 0

Facts

Pattern: Distributed activity

Dominant transfer: 30% of explained volume

Relative context

0.5x above local average

0.9x previous minute

1.1x next minute

Interpretation

Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.

The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

Observable rows

78.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

Asset volume

19,783.54 QUAI

396.44 QI

Avg confidence

63.7%

Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

medium priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.

Dominant behavior: mixed flow

mixed_flow + medium confidence + 19784 QUAI

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Importance score: 35

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.

No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.

Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 18 visible transfer rows

Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default

Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: watch • Moderate freshness drift

Aging context • Broad source coverage

Last updated: 07/30/2026, 2:26:00 A.M.

Coverage gaps appear limited

Based on: 1 related signal • 18 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window

Confidence is moderate: useful context is present, but some recent or cross-source detail may be missing.

Data reliability is mixed; validate conclusions with additional checks before strong decisions.

Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.

What to do next

Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752

Net sender

Unknown type

11,886.64 QUAI across 8 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F

Net sender

Unknown type

6,588.68 QUAI across 8 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x004fDaE1eab82e3cEf1F3CA96eAD1990777a18d9

Net receiver

Unknown type

5,643.06 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x004Bf2F5479D958937fDC59149c69A6d3f3Aac07

Net receiver

Unknown type

2,562.79 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x0054E5188a64FcF220C32DB7B77c113Bf9c3c71b

Net receiver

Unknown type

2,260.26 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs

No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.

Type concentration

To exchange: 0 QUAI

From exchange: 0 QUAI

Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Alert context Signal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.

Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source

Cyprus-1 spike

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.

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18 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 23. The remaining 5 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.