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Spike bucket

07/30/2026, 2:17:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 07/30/2026, 2:17:00 A.M. to 07/30/2026, 2:18:00 A.M.

Partially observable spike

medium confidence

100% coverage

Whale-driven spike detected

Large spike

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 162,565

Unexplained QUAI: 0

Explained QI: 790.4

Unexplained QI: 0

Facts

Pattern: Whale-driven spike

Dominant transfer: 90% of explained volume

Relative context

4.1x above local average

16x previous minute

9.4x next minute

Interpretation

Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.

Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

Observable rows

93.5% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

Asset volume

159,254.15 QUAI

790.4 QI

Avg confidence

63.0%

Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x000Fb0eC6B6bb287A9653D02d6ce209ace7F8a40 • 0x00308d62faf116EB6eAF509b0dB95B454Ca3084f.

Dominant behavior: whale rotation

whale_rotation + medium confidence + 159254 QUAI

Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.

Importance score: 64

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x000Fb0eC6B6bb287A9653D02d6ce209ace7F8a40 • 0x00308d62faf116EB6eAF509b0dB95B454Ca3084f.

0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).

Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 58 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow

Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default

Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: watch • Moderate freshness drift

Aging context • Broad source coverage

Last updated: 07/30/2026, 2:17:00 A.M.

Coverage gaps appear limited

Based on: 1 related signal • 58 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window

Confidence is moderate: useful context is present, but some recent or cross-source detail may be missing.

Data reliability is mixed; validate conclusions with additional checks before strong decisions.

Limits: context is aging; recent shifts may be under-reflected

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.

What to do next

Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x000Fb0eC6B6bb287A9653D02d6ce209ace7F8a40

Net sender

Unknown type

146,900 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x00308d62faf116EB6eAF509b0dB95B454Ca3084f

Net receiver

Unknown type

146,900 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752

Net sender

Unknown type

7,397.34 QUAI across 5 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x002378Ed986d936D488B5DD92517Dc3F4966E07F

Net receiver

Unknown type

6,353.45 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da

Net sender

Unknown type

3,367.74 QUAI across 40 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs

0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2

2 repeated flows • 790.4 QI

Type concentration

To exchange: 0 QUAI

From exchange: 0 QUAI

Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Alert context Signal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.

Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source

Cyprus-1 spike

Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.

Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.

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58 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 62. The remaining 4 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.