Spike bucket
07/30/2026, 1:05:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/30/2026, 1:05:00 A.M. to 07/30/2026, 1:06:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 18.64
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 0
Unexplained QI: 388.98
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 89% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
0 QUAI
388.98 QI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B • 0x005C125815deAb4db0fE6d25e24E43972BCD6796.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B • 0x005C125815deAb4db0fE6d25e24E43972BCD6796.
0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05 -> 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/30/2026, 1:05:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
Net sender
Unknown type
16.64 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005C125815deAb4db0fE6d25e24E43972BCD6796
Net receiver
Unknown type
16.64 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
Net sender
Unknown type
2 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Net receiver
Unknown type
2 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05 → 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
2 repeated flows • 2 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/30/2026, 1:05:08 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/30/2026, 1:03:57 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate5 tx
18.64 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/30/2026, 1:06:20 A.M.
-2 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/30/2026, 1:02:45 A.M.
-3 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/30/2026, 1:01:34 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/30/2026, 1:07:32 A.M.
+4 min
3 tx
10 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/30/2026, 1:08:45 A.M.
-5 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/30/2026, 1:00:22 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
16.64 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/30/2026, 1:05:39 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x005C125815deAb4db0fE6d25e24E43972BCD6796
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/30/2026, 1:05:59 A.M.
From: 0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x00010061789d9432a2bcea647a518a355ae8707e41d662dde2f9de4cf1e3d57f
16.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/30/2026, 1:05:39 A.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x005C125815deAb4db0fE6d25e24E43972BCD6796
Tx: 0x003a003c4e87e7f1b6df308f55cd2a70db3b0b5081ef54e22fda6d4b5a494215
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/30/2026, 1:05:39 A.M.
From: 0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x0015003377b0dd77cb693dce697e7bc5480c0ac679d278fd5211ae255a9366ee