Spike bucket
07/29/2026, 9:16:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/29/2026, 9:16:00 P.M. to 07/29/2026, 9:17:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
29% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 714.8
Unexplained QUAI: 1,779.48
Explained QI: 540.64
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 36% of explained volume
Relative context
2.5x above local average
178x previous minute
3.5x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
54
Observable rows
13
24.1% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
67
Asset volume
2,494.29 QUAI
540.64 QI
Avg confidence
68.9%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 2494 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 13 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/29/2026, 9:16:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (71% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 13 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (29%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
541.65 QI across 3 visible rows
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
369.61 QUAI across 7 visible rows
0x001c0f7c7bD4EBE9714E35a696b2152745bc3651
Net receiver
Unknown type
360.49 QI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
345.19 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Net receiver
Unknown type
257.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 180.15 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 345.19 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
54 tx
2,494.29 QUAI • 67 addresses
07/29/2026, 9:16:24 P.M.
-1 min
11 tx
14 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/29/2026, 9:15:11 P.M.
-2 min
56 tx
780.95 QUAI • 65 addresses
07/29/2026, 9:13:55 P.M.
+2 min
13 tx
714.8 QUAI • 22 addresses
07/29/2026, 9:17:37 P.M.
+2 min
3 tx
5.99 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/29/2026, 9:18:12 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate4 tx
4,064.34 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/29/2026, 9:19:25 P.M.
-5 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/29/2026, 9:10:50 P.M.
+5 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/29/2026, 9:20:37 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
360.49 QI
Whale alertEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 9:16:43 P.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x001c0f7c7bD4EBE9714E35a696b2152745bc3651
All transfers in this selected minute
13 transactions
35.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 9:16:59 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Tx: 0x0005004c88eb66e764d30cd6255df732617b81dac5312ce926a90c5b140e6443
24.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 9:16:59 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0012BF2C8A60ac40572824fD2F575e7CAAE7af95
Tx: 0x000f000007bd235cd66971f3549595acee284f78698901cbf741dd3d9d97cdd1
7.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 9:16:59 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0075B412784C5496aA3792b990E67794082F9986
Tx: 0x006c0067d8f185edc4aedd7ef4307383d24948d1fcc2ee4b0139b019b385c731
7.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 9:16:59 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x004d27296eA9C630Ae2ebb84071575Bf1fF919d6
Tx: 0x0000002aafbff9563a69d2cbb07de0908bbeffd7d3b44dc57a5b21ae987e8062
257.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 9:16:59 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x0029001332de39440efa109422aa207e07d988f18260162e21157c2a6e4bbd85
33.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 9:16:59 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002cc0f8Ff017a0b9B6983d9ADBB8A7d9bBA7135
Tx: 0x004d006818886c2483c4ea648942145356b35dac2a4e9a61849fe27775e5b56b
4.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 9:16:59 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x003c82ECb4b9D3756F2cd7484713a5F4B0CA16bC
Tx: 0x0032004ac0147966dd7e223bafcd1e7469df9cda39e69145446b62ff506c158b
360.49 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 9:16:43 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x001c0f7c7bD4EBE9714E35a696b2152745bc3651
Tx: 0x003a00689fc440f42243f511d25d61b8fb198e059d79ccf57c534ed46fafe945
180.15 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 9:16:43 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x003f00494ee039f6df8e9bc1c5943b53286aa4a1a88ab924e74ebc58accca9dc
1 QI
Observed transferUtxo Shape92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 9:16:43 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x004d005fc6d3c657cf89d785d9d5620d6da180ee54f48f83a3aaf94fbf239940
115.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 9:16:43 P.M.
From: 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005a0010d3cd618ed481083db2303efa6b5aa8fc8d85b84f23689a030d60487a
114.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 9:16:43 P.M.
From: 0x0072DF620c41F7aBD07F7fceC52feb044e3D4d62
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0079005c8a7af4b485760b015f18797e183bc1719bc1f736cdd5cc89641387a2
115.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 9:16:43 P.M.
From: 0x007f71E05a9e44077ED40d00F1f8AFF9C9013B05
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006e00744844f861e6298eaba4c3da8c05b60f22b2c08a763725084f9ce00d0b
