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Spike bucket

07/29/2026, 4:54:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 07/29/2026, 4:54:00 P.M. to 07/29/2026, 4:55:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
85% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 23,996.17
Unexplained QUAI: 4,320
Explained QI: 513.27
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 79% of explained volume
Relative context
0.8x above local average
0.3x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
6
75.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
28,316.17 QUAI
513.27 QI
Avg confidence
72.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004d03b2B830Bbe0CE173dC452786800a0232eeF • 0x006825fE12e9B261FfE0F90C7910E6FB1abA0F94.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + medium confidence + 28316 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 58
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004d03b2B830Bbe0CE173dC452786800a0232eeF • 0x006825fE12e9B261FfE0F90C7910E6FB1abA0F94.
0x004d03b2B830Bbe0CE173dC452786800a0232eeF -> 0x006825fE12e9B261FfE0F90C7910E6FB1abA0F94 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidenceSource coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context windowBroad source coverage
Last updated: 07/29/2026, 4:54:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x004d03b2B830Bbe0CE173dC452786800a0232eeF
Net sender
Unknown type
19,900 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x006825fE12e9B261FfE0F90C7910E6FB1abA0F94
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,900 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net sender
Unknown type
4,096.17 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x002E29584b82702846500391f29783b9872ce19E
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,163.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004d22eEBcE914c85154294bAd8669875E2Dbf0D
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,932.67 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
0x004d03b2B830Bbe0CE173dC452786800a0232eeF0x006825fE12e9B261FfE0F90C7910E6FB1abA0F94
2 repeated flows19,900 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

6 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 8. The remaining 2 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.

Biggest whale alert

19,000 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 4:54:06 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004d03b2B830Bbe0CE173dC452786800a0232eeF
To: 0x006825fE12e9B261FfE0F90C7910E6FB1abA0F94

All transfers in this selected minute

6 transactions
1,932.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 4:54:37 P.M.
From: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
To: 0x004d22eEBcE914c85154294bAd8669875E2Dbf0D
Tx: 0x00720068ae57860a5f80a266043e1f8c41bc728cd9e4679a15349c0f236f492b
Open txWallet profile
900 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 4:54:37 P.M.
From: 0x004d03b2B830Bbe0CE173dC452786800a0232eeF
To: 0x006825fE12e9B261FfE0F90C7910E6FB1abA0F94
Tx: 0x00210058de61c9de1c3a0a033ad6f2cb3c5710286c3484f850729b667655b195
342.18 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 4:54:28 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x001c0f7c7bD4EBE9714E35a696b2152745bc3651
Tx: 0x003c00105e1e99ee1a51352167c7c840d54c7bac563146ebe0aae3c8f0e87c87
171.09 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 4:54:28 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x005d0052fe5c52cceb1f04bba808fffc0e588f23f9ac899a66a54601c7e538e8
2,163.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 4:54:15 P.M.
From: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
To: 0x002E29584b82702846500391f29783b9872ce19E
Tx: 0x007d0024c0a71d2bc24dbc3bbad006f7063fa7872dc79822d34225d09b7dee4e
Open txWallet profile
19,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 4:54:06 P.M.
From: 0x004d03b2B830Bbe0CE173dC452786800a0232eeF
To: 0x006825fE12e9B261FfE0F90C7910E6FB1abA0F94
Tx: 0x001b0038469ebdba57a16f75eb86ab2469a47482d683555856c7e827e9dfa67d