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Spike bucket

07/29/2026, 3:23:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 07/29/2026, 3:23:00 P.M. to 07/29/2026, 3:24:00 P.M.

Partially observable spike

low confidence

39% coverage

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 5,854.25

Unexplained QUAI: 9,233.56

Explained QI: 0

Unexplained QI: 361.63

Facts

Pattern: Mixed spike

Dominant transfer: 35% of explained volume

Relative context

0.1x above local average

0.1x previous minute

1.0x next minute

Interpretation

This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.

No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

Observable rows

36.4% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

Asset volume

15,087.82 QUAI

361.63 QI

Avg confidence

62.0%

Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

medium priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x00039Cdd80343cF5aa64541Aac146eF3E0b08E1e.

Dominant behavior: distribution

distribution + low confidence + 15088 QUAI

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Importance score: 37

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x00039Cdd80343cF5aa64541Aac146eF3E0b08E1e.

No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.

Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows

Confidence low • Source account-shape-default

Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: limited • High freshness drift

Stale context window • Thin source coverage

Last updated: 07/29/2026, 3:23:00 P.M.

Coverage gap high (61% not covered)

Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window

Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.

Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.

Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (39%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).

What to do next

Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (distribution).
Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.

Top actors in this event

Gate.io hot wallet

Net receiver

Exchange

5,854.25 QUAI across 4 visible rows

Known watch context

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x00039Cdd80343cF5aa64541Aac146eF3E0b08E1e

Net sender

Unknown type

2,052.17 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x005E6F17BC0320c439526bf12AbDB525165Ca3b3

Net sender

Unknown type

1,337.77 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x0046cE23158d83E846ba7A0CC6C322851F85Fa48

Net sender

Unknown type

1,273.44 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x007d6EFD51782aAaF15FE858bF9327358f8FB855

Net sender

Unknown type

1,190.89 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs

No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.

Type concentration

To exchange: 5,854.25 QUAI

From exchange: 0 QUAI

Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Alert context Signal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.

Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source

Cyprus-1 spike

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.

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4 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 11. The remaining 7 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.