Spike bucket
07/29/2026, 10:16:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/29/2026, 10:16:00 A.M. to 07/29/2026, 10:17:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
99% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 759.75
Unexplained QUAI: 8.98
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 34% of explained volume
Relative context
1.2x above local average
0.2x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
20
Observable rows
18
90.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
31
Asset volume
768.73 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + medium confidence + 769 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 35
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 18 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/29/2026, 10:16:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 18 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
759.75 QUAI across 18 visible rows
0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Net receiver
Unknown type
260.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0052d26C6706DA740b7F09DB43479142513a4B37
Net receiver
Unknown type
177.29 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Net receiver
Unknown type
131.17 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Net receiver
Unknown type
35.39 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
Best candidate52 tx
3,397.76 QUAI • 67 addresses
07/29/2026, 10:15:28 A.M.
+1 min
20 tx
768.73 QUAI • 31 addresses
07/29/2026, 10:16:41 A.M.
-2 min
51 tx
1,170.98 QUAI • 64 addresses
07/29/2026, 10:14:15 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/29/2026, 10:17:53 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/29/2026, 10:13:03 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
8.44 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/29/2026, 10:19:04 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/29/2026, 10:11:52 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/29/2026, 10:20:17 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
260.16 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 10:16:38 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
All transfers in this selected minute
18 transactions
12.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 10:16:38 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002DEc54E9A6Cf6e5025Ed220879F9B153CC9D73
Tx: 0x0052005e10aafca1bd1b406e575f5fc167d99933afdc7b9fdbaa39ed0a2d8db9
12.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 10:16:38 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00734b901cF8B9d636C2E5cAAb3c38BC738AEb90
Tx: 0x006300703972b0d94048a8705f677a83323110bb7290d2a0069f86cbd43a59ee
8.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 10:16:38 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001aaaCEB5E8E0fC225c4bE3eb2dd1e613587BF1
Tx: 0x001c0024c4d137f28aedb758bd15767d87a5480df7581755a662c952fa64101f
5.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 10:16:38 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x003273B2988Dd0Eb22Ef74b5AB28e6F4D1E14189
Tx: 0x001e002f4339b7b02939c8ac5c6cd9cac575500e9bc5e2bc9941abe70fe8a8f9
14.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 10:16:38 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0030160076D0a37f5d411369C84B674B6A69c45d
Tx: 0x006e007adf69d6aea6d27d56e9da6535eb791c4a9e361ae21a48deed8bcfc1e6
35.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 10:16:38 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Tx: 0x0059000ef429b11a1259962f01688669f944c9ebeb23c127e663df346ef93378
12.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 10:16:38 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00293B52b3891afa998163221A3D610Be0D5d99F
Tx: 0x001700349b23396aaff29a83ffdd123b2a2c61d746703d36c3efebe283c68b1b
4.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 10:16:38 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005E6F17BC0320c439526bf12AbDB525165Ca3b3
Tx: 0x007c001d74dc1b288b828c1ec8779cadd63e011296998236b395a2d7725685a6
24.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 10:16:38 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0012BF2C8A60ac40572824fD2F575e7CAAE7af95
Tx: 0x007300441505ddf07becb6f2467e010b31e888bdb092252aab8f12402a1eab4e
260.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 10:16:38 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x001200455a4aed4d484905ba3b08508cf5bc9508b79378b7e57cca52bc771345
131.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 10:16:38 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Tx: 0x0078003a900513228cbf7a10adc177e53b2867ccb709c56fd4b3b578a90f7911
5.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 10:16:38 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0008E77A0dD7DF694769928733B983D84426Ff02
Tx: 0x002d006ed7d96391e9172c4921929275236e01ffc23bcef10917136425183bd5
4.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 10:16:38 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00307b9d6B5323F0EEdECa238BC1723cc3CE08D3
Tx: 0x00750075bb13b8863972c70b7a12e0be87a523f42544cae6b3600b9b3cd0b737
7.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 10:16:38 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0075B412784C5496aA3792b990E67794082F9986
Tx: 0x0074001d89eb33d42ca17935b4d5fd662a7b649c25eca160109040aa2c9fe8b8
4.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 10:16:38 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002F97062f6324C696EEEB4105F87f35907e1c6f
Tx: 0x0048006937e20f24e115fd6b0ddeaf8c501a18a772d588969f6168515e8b97b9
4.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 10:16:38 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x003c82ECb4b9D3756F2cd7484713a5F4B0CA16bC
Tx: 0x00000010acddc3640fbbc9b973e9e63099cd6b37738a62b10829615319ecba6a
32.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 10:16:38 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002cc0f8Ff017a0b9B6983d9ADBB8A7d9bBA7135
Tx: 0x002b005cc7da1b80b3468ab51826c8008dc4c4d2bf9a899015422461c9f5d23d
177.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 10:16:38 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0052d26C6706DA740b7F09DB43479142513a4B37
Tx: 0x00170014aecbe94f8eda70df8072f79884f459d28fc152e91a7848d63432816c
