Spike bucket
07/29/2026, 2:30:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/29/2026, 2:30:00 A.M. to 07/29/2026, 2:31:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
44% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 7,151.61
Unexplained QUAI: 8,977.1
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 44% of explained volume
Relative context
1.2x above local average
0.7x previous minute
56x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
13
Observable rows
6
46.2% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
24
Asset volume
16,128.71 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x004fDaE1eab82e3cEf1F3CA96eAD1990777a18d9.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 16129 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x004fDaE1eab82e3cEf1F3CA96eAD1990777a18d9.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/29/2026, 2:30:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (56% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (44%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
5,452.7 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x004fDaE1eab82e3cEf1F3CA96eAD1990777a18d9
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,144.52 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0054E5188a64FcF220C32DB7B77c113Bf9c3c71b
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,183.78 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,698.91 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0048f9049edD6816A471BC46782eF5fC2E6e578F
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,228.25 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
13 tx
16,128.71 QUAI • 24 addresses
07/29/2026, 2:30:23 A.M.
-1 min
17 tx
23,619.67 QUAI • 28 addresses
07/29/2026, 2:29:11 A.M.
-2 min
17 tx
10,434.02 QUAI • 29 addresses
07/29/2026, 2:27:57 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
289.15 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/29/2026, 2:31:34 A.M.
-3 min
15 tx
10,402.78 QUAI • 30 addresses
07/29/2026, 2:26:45 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate35 tx
31,822.63 QUAI • 53 addresses
07/29/2026, 2:32:45 A.M.
-4 min
11 tx
10,721.81 QUAI • 24 addresses
07/29/2026, 2:25:33 A.M.
+4 min
12 tx
8,029.15 QUAI • 22 addresses
07/29/2026, 2:33:59 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
3,144.52 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 2:30:04 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004fDaE1eab82e3cEf1F3CA96eAD1990777a18d9
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
124.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 2:30:59 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00556Cc2f004aBb86a2d8d9246F6043B3dCab03c
Tx: 0x004c00666442fe8e7dd2d1b260475acb1004040326b987e6dd20f0852297a808
164.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 2:30:59 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00497bB7e32f778C15BBE53a9eA8Fe043698ac5B
Tx: 0x004a003de9a9b592bf43f5b7abd830094b171a09035e4ab2763213fcbe6efb5f
2,183.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 2:30:12 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0054E5188a64FcF220C32DB7B77c113Bf9c3c71b
Tx: 0x0039001f6fa191fbeaff808c4e5432ed8d7fa575062b04d752b2d96ebb9d0435
1,228.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 2:30:12 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0048f9049edD6816A471BC46782eF5fC2E6e578F
Tx: 0x004f00164995faa75aaa4b0e45276358318d3329f1e9bda8b2e6fe1826d770af
305.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 2:30:04 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00486c55A3Bb33E240853Ae40335a28A458bD499
Tx: 0x00450009c4cd759ffb567e8e47543189810202bb8d385c6a0531b7694a413a17
3,144.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 2:30:04 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004fDaE1eab82e3cEf1F3CA96eAD1990777a18d9
Tx: 0x00770047e3707d316826eff8946906f4a2bece071d26f1d41a571c9c62101c6b