Spike bucket
07/29/2026, 2:21:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/29/2026, 2:21:00 A.M. to 07/29/2026, 2:22:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
91% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 12,398.16
Unexplained QUAI: 1,209.07
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 48% of explained volume
Relative context
1.4x above local average
39x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
12
Observable rows
10
83.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
13,607.23 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x002378Ed986d936D488B5DD92517Dc3F4966E07F.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + medium confidence + 13607 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x002378Ed986d936D488B5DD92517Dc3F4966E07F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/29/2026, 2:21:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
7,187.52 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x002378Ed986d936D488B5DD92517Dc3F4966E07F
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,999.12 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
5,210.65 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x00272A3B1850ce2E56DF955b2041FABfCAF3F117
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,462.59 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0026f466C5e703E513415Cf98eF844dbA6469983
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,435.81 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
6 tx
2,415.49 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/29/2026, 2:20:44 A.M.
-1 min
3 tx
351.91 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/29/2026, 2:19:32 A.M.
+1 min
12 tx
13,607.23 QUAI • 21 addresses
07/29/2026, 2:21:55 A.M.
+2 min
16 tx
15,125.73 QUAI • 25 addresses
07/29/2026, 2:23:07 A.M.
-3 min
6 tx
4,064.18 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/29/2026, 2:18:21 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate42 tx
25,928.12 QUAI • 55 addresses
07/29/2026, 2:24:19 A.M.
-4 min
15 tx
3,453.34 QUAI • 24 addresses
07/29/2026, 2:17:08 A.M.
-5 min
67 tx
10,759.16 QUAI • 77 addresses
07/29/2026, 2:15:55 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
5,999.12 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 2:21:10 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002378Ed986d936D488B5DD92517Dc3F4966E07F
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
201.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 2:21:52 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00279149c2f7c3783737B79597A7Ceb558D12241
Tx: 0x000000569d9e38ba9c68f830651f24ef041b6f8443871c0889758828608f41be
1,970.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 2:21:52 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00272A3B1850ce2E56DF955b2041FABfCAF3F117
Tx: 0x0034007abdc5dc2234acbcfbfae0d39f765c298dcd450c269051055c1411882a
1,435.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 2:21:47 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0026f466C5e703E513415Cf98eF844dbA6469983
Tx: 0x001e004cdef9c96fbc5586589cad84527888b8e0b13a3c43d5d01575b99ddfba
492.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 2:21:47 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00272A3B1850ce2E56DF955b2041FABfCAF3F117
Tx: 0x00430069b27cc0620f242a1f2aa170647125e4985e4959f26d6b05ac8ab800cb
553.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 2:21:38 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00263215E71B295383730Ca46a28166c3AAc3609
Tx: 0x0033005be3f0b3dcd7c1ced46c4a52df90654482380baedc0bb194b34eb39c92
208.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 2:21:38 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002632E5866Ec5Bb6Bc8818C44344DB2D8Ad97E5
Tx: 0x0033005b4e62405c3c1852255c1fd97053e99d0549cc262446ce9b694b6051c7
1,022.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 2:21:14 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x002514cA59ABb8141043e5fda6aea7A8ba9BAD9C
Tx: 0x002d005fc8f7818cd33062f8c1eb118e1fcaaf58b4d72b3da8ada569a3b7cf7e
285.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 2:21:14 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0025c1f0DeA4c465Afdd41cAaB6E2cC6F530A800
Tx: 0x00090037b5de8bc582c447073009b69ab19024e7ba477f7afc2a72aedb9f2ef7
229 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 2:21:10 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0024A7C887159Ccd5d9C9208671BfaA0A01919E7
Tx: 0x0045004d715d0dcaba2c4027d6b0405fb2c7441ae8eb9e38f0aa75d75f802a2a
5,999.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 2:21:10 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002378Ed986d936D488B5DD92517Dc3F4966E07F
Tx: 0x003a00416579aeac2c38544a4c0cc75e22b5fc6670eb88fc7e9178e706169000
