Spike bucket
07/29/2026, 1:16:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/29/2026, 1:16:00 A.M. to 07/29/2026, 1:17:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
44% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 917.27
Unexplained QUAI: 1,167.05
Explained QI: 0
Unexplained QI: 416.82
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 30% of explained volume
Relative context
4.3x above local average
2.3x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
51
Observable rows
13
25.5% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
62
Asset volume
2,084.33 QUAI
416.82 QI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 2084 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 13 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/29/2026, 1:16:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (56% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 13 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (44%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
917.27 QUAI across 13 visible rows
0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52
Net receiver
Unknown type
274.86 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Net receiver
Unknown type
271.21 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0052d26C6706DA740b7F09DB43479142513a4B37
Net receiver
Unknown type
165.79 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Net receiver
Unknown type
134.83 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate51 tx
2,084.33 QUAI • 62 addresses
07/29/2026, 1:16:13 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/29/2026, 1:14:52 A.M.
+1 min
14 tx
917.27 QUAI • 23 addresses
07/29/2026, 1:17:25 A.M.
-2 min
51 tx
852.02 QUAI • 60 addresses
07/29/2026, 1:13:38 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
4.8 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/29/2026, 1:18:39 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/29/2026, 1:12:25 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/29/2026, 1:19:50 A.M.
-5 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/29/2026, 1:11:14 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
274.86 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 1:16:30 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52
All transfers in this selected minute
13 transactions
11.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 1:16:30 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00734b901cF8B9d636C2E5cAAb3c38BC738AEb90
Tx: 0x007b002f3ffd4ad2bd31982decdf2f008025dab881406e907d4c2f7f5ad9be10
12.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 1:16:30 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0076b2AC490BcdD5a99aC0450ebc8712C966b6a9
Tx: 0x0023002d3bf03fbebc7016cfcd1bfc458ad8aef9d5c7d0ee8c0c52f2f613e603
6.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 1:16:30 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x006218653c98DeE29002F0d26DBf7b20Fcdca27b
Tx: 0x0056002638ab4ea6b9737e259cd313eea5ef60933fb17b2b5c6e978bff42384a
274.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 1:16:30 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52
Tx: 0x00240022503406a13b56160a02d289326a85cf89b831d004437aa73b9e06a2e8
134.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 1:16:30 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Tx: 0x003d00660fcd717132b35058084f0338313b188ac1f8be60516fde5f6acfccd6
4.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 1:16:30 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0075B412784C5496aA3792b990E67794082F9986
Tx: 0x001100023c21cf9dddca5caa9f35fa6b3b23105135bf2ae73f0f24a7ece78dcf
6.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 1:16:30 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0061e8518Bbd996F3930504F99d3F8af28B19de9
Tx: 0x003d0058711678960850f4f01626e778210bf6012eba0cf6a4b443c5e1c576e3
7.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 1:16:30 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005eF5d5DC3ebF571BFAe01D957034dBE629A8E7
Tx: 0x006d002974a2cd6d6ca5eefc240517f3a960b9ab52b212c844f2a0731f3c55fa
12.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 1:16:30 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00293B52b3891afa998163221A3D610Be0D5d99F
Tx: 0x0036006cdc8f7ca49ecf944a5c5d73d1d07d4ee6beb0d8f2c5de55141c995b24
271.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 1:16:30 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x003b003d50c513ba7636da83756263d7d9fff17daf1e04f71f2f7dbe074f1ec7
4.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 1:16:30 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002F97062f6324C696EEEB4105F87f35907e1c6f
Tx: 0x0005003791517d0a2bd2d5a5a556c2410ec26950a2e844d9a47d0eaa8e083c8c
4.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 1:16:30 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x003c82ECb4b9D3756F2cd7484713a5F4B0CA16bC
Tx: 0x0052001709e80bba01cb1a437b583ad9097d6a20cec8ef46a0d0a72049dfa808
165.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/29/2026, 1:16:30 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0052d26C6706DA740b7F09DB43479142513a4B37
Tx: 0x002f006746e9d52a9bbaaf481ba54ac3032212e05eb8309180ba26e92b4ac16f
