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Spike bucket

07/28/2026, 8:22:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 07/28/2026, 8:22:00 P.M. to 07/28/2026, 8:23:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
100% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 768.45
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 0
Unexplained QI: 453.34
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 15% of explained volume
Relative context
3.4x above local average
173x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
8
88.9% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
23
Asset volume
768.45 QUAI
453.34 QI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

medium priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002d8E0923EfE6900B0208fb1a895Fcc4080EBf6.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + medium confidence + 768 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 35
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002d8E0923EfE6900B0208fb1a895Fcc4080EBf6.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidenceSource coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context windowBroad source coverage
Last updated: 07/28/2026, 8:22:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
  • Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
  • Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.

Top actors in this event

MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
738.03 QUAI across 7 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002d8E0923EfE6900B0208fb1a895Fcc4080EBf6
Net sender
Unknown type
115.54 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000a7d40a2081e7aFf84360a746784665280Ca58
Net sender
Unknown type
112.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00101818D47a4f44FC3030a3bb8D28Fa27Fc3dAA
Net sender
Unknown type
106.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003d0e7E89a10Bbc732f6b91F824Ec9146946Ac5
Net sender
Unknown type
101.38 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 738.03 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

8 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 9. The remaining 1 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.

Biggest whale alert

115.54 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/28/2026, 8:22:37 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002d8E0923EfE6900B0208fb1a895Fcc4080EBf6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Open txWallet profile

All transfers in this selected minute

8 transactions
115.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/28/2026, 8:22:37 P.M.
From: 0x002d8E0923EfE6900B0208fb1a895Fcc4080EBf6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0025001a1da24a1d64f23f887fd059c79884105cde325d65f670ecb3a04c4975
Open txWallet profile
100.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/28/2026, 8:22:37 P.M.
From: 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000e000dfa1c976728d9a2ce976b57a83c07e7919d11ac88c465ea4331518b3b
Open txWallet profile
112.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/28/2026, 8:22:37 P.M.
From: 0x000a7d40a2081e7aFf84360a746784665280Ca58
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0061004971bce8b04147b958a1b8e7e771504c116f082d79aae07c2950208673
Open txWallet profile
101.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/28/2026, 8:22:37 P.M.
From: 0x003d0e7E89a10Bbc732f6b91F824Ec9146946Ac5
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0049003f041dba089339fbb78738e082a434e2c0af65fcfdfa803d9ba6377866
Open txWallet profile
101.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/28/2026, 8:22:37 P.M.
From: 0x00515189167FA8989c7E7930A3F2E464Db049fFc
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0079007a8aea82bd874586cf449fbb02cc3f767644a0eb978ff8d4d57069f435
Open txWallet profile
100.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/28/2026, 8:22:37 P.M.
From: 0x0019F9b43cb6f2Ff7b0fFC61C0F0976b3ca1D23e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004d004ff8acdb0ffc698765107906174bb20c35b0bbef689c1537999164ca0e
Open txWallet profile
106.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/28/2026, 8:22:37 P.M.
From: 0x00101818D47a4f44FC3030a3bb8D28Fa27Fc3dAA
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005600660fb88be90783f70942c7fe7e4695919dcd3594e0e8bb85f49b5766bc
Open txWallet profile
30.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/28/2026, 8:22:16 P.M.
From: 0x0014E7B8b1954e8988DA0b91850A215B87aD4564
To: 0x006091638c3921529229929E34BC76BD66E30e27
Tx: 0x007a00656d3c58a1479b8e1015f80a5fb4d67ffaec332ab0409001e84163609a