Spike bucket
07/28/2026, 2:41:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/28/2026, 2:41:00 A.M. to 07/28/2026, 2:42:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
32% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 23,336.09
Unexplained QUAI: 49,275.57
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 86% of explained volume
Relative context
3.3x above local average
7.6x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
33
Observable rows
7
21.2% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
45
Asset volume
72,611.66 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 72612 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 50
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/28/2026, 2:41:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (68% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (32%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
2,268.07 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x005250f5a3209deebA83cFCfEFf62eb98f909F76
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,552.83 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,068.96 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
+1 min
Best candidate33 tx
72,611.66 QUAI • 45 addresses
07/28/2026, 2:41:42 A.M.
-2 min
8 tx
9,613.59 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/28/2026, 2:39:01 A.M.
+2 min
19 tx
8,533.03 QUAI • 29 addresses
07/28/2026, 2:43:28 A.M.
-3 min
13 tx
15,725.12 QUAI • 25 addresses
07/28/2026, 2:37:49 A.M.
-4 min
12 tx
10,828.04 QUAI • 24 addresses
07/28/2026, 2:36:35 A.M.
+4 min
11 tx
24,401.62 QUAI • 26 addresses
07/28/2026, 2:45:14 A.M.
+6 min
17 tx
34,622.51 QUAI • 29 addresses
07/28/2026, 2:46:38 A.M.
+7 min
6 tx
2,308.96 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/28/2026, 2:47:53 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.06 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/28/2026, 2:41:27 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
684.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/28/2026, 2:41:33 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00541EB654c3A18058F0F55315E4724be03Cf344
Tx: 0x002300773f2d4e3249dcb9a44b3611ad18e1407c3fa374acbd2adc302c74f7a1
166.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/28/2026, 2:41:33 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005b603C8D33511c6DF524BE933365e1AF0Df9Cc
Tx: 0x0025004f7c8a62af8db2cb0debdb87d66f7e3aab24fb4cbdcc1f7aa7f8bb41f8
30.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/28/2026, 2:41:29 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0053E9fdF56E58dce123AAC0145DD24DDB6Ea507
Tx: 0x0073003cc85f4ac7537637f2090b67f54f04c516dc47568303aea95110ebf99f
628.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/28/2026, 2:41:29 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005b0F3Cf33EEd139a12a653Bd6f76B2249fB035
Tx: 0x00420007288996612b55d4c6c830ee5d979db212e9a682ae7dedfe59d6578e4a
1,552.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/28/2026, 2:41:27 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x005250f5a3209deebA83cFCfEFf62eb98f909F76
Tx: 0x004300283dd1a224ca6653d4b9388e12d5168c6d63a1b732892375a656ab6180
274.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/28/2026, 2:41:27 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005AE28E0163Ba0d77cDC2eB96C44619bFf939d3
Tx: 0x0052000fea067b21efa2ffc911adf0eab9f1c7bea9ebf729cef1e482d41c1d20
19,999.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/28/2026, 2:41:27 A.M.
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x001b002905b411ec477f1a364fbed24fbb6fea4a3d0784bb52cc58a2e843d3d6