Spike bucket
07/27/2026, 6:07:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/27/2026, 6:07:00 P.M. to 07/27/2026, 6:08:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,284.78
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 62% of explained volume
Relative context
150x above local average
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
5
Asset volume
2,284.78 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 2285 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/27/2026, 6:07:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
2,284.78 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
Net sender
Unknown type
1,413.27 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005Db15bcCDC1deA4cB6985D302a6f90e4346941
Net sender
Unknown type
513.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002f0a15A0B1f395E93823f17e4d65629307Ea9f
Net sender
Unknown type
239.53 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006374Baf4FAf34939ac989DE57B06e63D7049F4
Net sender
Unknown type
118.44 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 2,284.78 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/27/2026, 6:02:14 P.M.
-6 min
Best candidate2 tx
122.2 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/27/2026, 6:01:01 P.M.
-7 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/27/2026, 5:59:50 P.M.
-8 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/27/2026, 5:58:39 P.M.
-10 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/27/2026, 5:57:27 P.M.
-12 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/27/2026, 5:55:04 P.M.
-13 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/27/2026, 5:53:53 P.M.
-14 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/27/2026, 5:52:42 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,413.27 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/27/2026, 6:07:38 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
513.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/27/2026, 6:07:38 P.M.
From: 0x005Db15bcCDC1deA4cB6985D302a6f90e4346941
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007e000fdf6c4ae90096f7e5ceb402d8b807a174d2728c021834ecc92a741020
239.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/27/2026, 6:07:38 P.M.
From: 0x002f0a15A0B1f395E93823f17e4d65629307Ea9f
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004e006663a34a82ad6ac387ad95d467210ab9652a7b5029ef090c587dfab0f9
118.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/27/2026, 6:07:38 P.M.
From: 0x006374Baf4FAf34939ac989DE57B06e63D7049F4
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00510052158c67d6c7daeb60af04349258297a4260a4fefc755af75f638a0d23
1,413.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/27/2026, 6:07:38 P.M.
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000e0005dc38a38e1072a835a4d61e06f0052317f262d04ffc0903bd14f417a4
