Spike bucket
07/27/2026, 12:00:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/27/2026, 12:00:00 P.M. to 07/27/2026, 12:01:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
1% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 80.12
Unexplained QUAI: 13,993.74
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 99% of explained volume
Relative context
1.1x above local average
0.5x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
2
28.6% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
23
Asset volume
14,073.87 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002E555d44Cfdb0b919F51b17E75A18A32A6E0dc • 0x00296B3C2c0ba765Ff2863CC9a509cd0d92223A9.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 14074 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002E555d44Cfdb0b919F51b17E75A18A32A6E0dc • 0x00296B3C2c0ba765Ff2863CC9a509cd0d92223A9.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/27/2026, 12:00:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (99% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (1%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002E555d44Cfdb0b919F51b17E75A18A32A6E0dc
Net sender
Unknown type
79.12 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00296B3C2c0ba765Ff2863CC9a509cd0d92223A9
Net receiver
Unknown type
79.12 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007B4484Ef93f038593485f16bBc691a475612f5
Net sender
Unknown type
1 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0008159eF6d55C4e0Ddb6D6fC8b6095a45C58144
Net receiver
Unknown type
1 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
7 tx
14,073.87 QUAI • 23 addresses
07/27/2026, 12:00:21 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
29,996 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/27/2026, 11:59:00 A.M.
-2 min
3 tx
270.05 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/27/2026, 11:57:42 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
13,528.68 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/27/2026, 12:01:43 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
1 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/27/2026, 12:03:01 P.M.
-4 min
4 tx
110.35 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/27/2026, 11:56:18 A.M.
+4 min
Best candidate2 tx
31,648.37 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/27/2026, 12:04:21 P.M.
-5 min
2 tx
12,115.01 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/27/2026, 11:54:58 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
79.12 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/27/2026, 12:00:04 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x002E555d44Cfdb0b919F51b17E75A18A32A6E0dc
To: 0x00296B3C2c0ba765Ff2863CC9a509cd0d92223A9
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/27/2026, 12:00:04 P.M.
From: 0x007B4484Ef93f038593485f16bBc691a475612f5
To: 0x0008159eF6d55C4e0Ddb6D6fC8b6095a45C58144
Tx: 0x006e0015628c2e50ce0aff1345d1c819c21979c777f3e496797a6a47ba858ae3
79.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/27/2026, 12:00:04 P.M.
From: 0x002E555d44Cfdb0b919F51b17E75A18A32A6E0dc
To: 0x00296B3C2c0ba765Ff2863CC9a509cd0d92223A9
Tx: 0x002000480ad81574b462556cf0b6ab5b8cd668cfed972d7f73aa55340ffff0eb