Spike bucket
07/27/2026, 11:35:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/27/2026, 11:35:00 A.M. to 07/27/2026, 11:36:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
50% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 9,999.15
Unexplained QUAI: 10,001
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
3.4x previous minute
0.2x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
1
50.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
9
Asset volume
20,000.15 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b • 0x000D225CD8dd257DC2480573CE40AE821C4df337.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 20000 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b • 0x000D225CD8dd257DC2480573CE40AE821C4df337.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 visible transfer row
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/27/2026, 11:35:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (50% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 transfer row • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (50%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
Net sender
Unknown type
9,999.15 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000D225CD8dd257DC2480573CE40AE821C4df337
Net receiver
Unknown type
9,999.15 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
20,000.15 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/27/2026, 11:35:16 A.M.
-1 min
4 tx
5,837.65 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/27/2026, 11:34:03 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
38.54 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/27/2026, 11:31:43 A.M.
+3 min
5 tx
107,036.75 QUAI • 20 addresses
07/27/2026, 11:37:47 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
160 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/27/2026, 11:39:08 A.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/27/2026, 11:30:27 A.M.
-7 min
Best candidate3 tx
4,000,698.28 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/27/2026, 11:28:05 A.M.
+7 min
10 tx
140,045.8 QUAI • 24 addresses
07/27/2026, 11:41:36 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
9,999.15 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/27/2026, 11:35:25 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x000D225CD8dd257DC2480573CE40AE821C4df337
All transfers in this selected minute
1 transactions
9,999.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/27/2026, 11:35:25 A.M.
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x000D225CD8dd257DC2480573CE40AE821C4df337
Tx: 0x004b007f76c0c69bcb2b1f8d6ef2fb59fa64ec8832ec41721b55a45dbad27312