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Spike bucket

07/27/2026, 11:23:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 07/27/2026, 11:23:00 A.M. to 07/27/2026, 11:24:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 20,537.16
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 97% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.0x previous minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
12
Observable rows
5
41.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
24.24 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + medium confidence + 24 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 53
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidenceSource coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context windowBroad source coverage
Last updated: 07/27/2026, 11:23:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
  • Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
  • Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.

Top actors in this event

MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
20,537.16 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.89 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005ad112DE8105AB7783225CA2c5A912aAc48381
Net sender
Unknown type
182.45 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0019F9b43cb6f2Ff7b0fFC61C0F0976b3ca1D23e
Net sender
Unknown type
141.41 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0072DF620c41F7aBD07F7fceC52feb044e3D4d62
Net sender
Unknown type
112.15 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 20,537.16 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

5 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 12. The remaining 7 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.

Biggest whale alert

19,998.89 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/27/2026, 11:23:28 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Open txWallet profile

All transfers in this selected minute

5 transactions
19,998.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/27/2026, 11:23:28 A.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0033002f22bfc05ef74deea93eb62fe76b068a3d66867ee79cc23ed24737d182
Open txWallet profile
141.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/27/2026, 11:23:28 A.M.
From: 0x0019F9b43cb6f2Ff7b0fFC61C0F0976b3ca1D23e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0077005ddf5eebc2fa0b67f587abaa4146777dfd39585385fc57099b60d132bb
Open txWallet profile
102.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/27/2026, 11:23:28 A.M.
From: 0x00013a286CCE4d2D5C5b47A313977bb5B981A30b
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001600466d3d77e4749665458f81143f98175ef240ca63aaec9c145617459e1f
Open txWallet profile
112.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/27/2026, 11:23:28 A.M.
From: 0x0072DF620c41F7aBD07F7fceC52feb044e3D4d62
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001200502edc03034d6d04bc938013057a265aab6463c0ec66c9cd38afcb3bd4
Open txWallet profile
182.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/27/2026, 11:23:28 A.M.
From: 0x005ad112DE8105AB7783225CA2c5A912aAc48381
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000a001d5c397f8ef7c42d1277f3b6a9786bac4a8505994ec53ad989dba0eb5b
Open txWallet profile