Spike bucket
07/27/2026, 5:14:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/27/2026, 5:14:00 A.M. to 07/27/2026, 5:15:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
7% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 785.59
Unexplained QUAI: 11,220.18
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 71% of explained volume
Relative context
6.8x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
54
Observable rows
3
5.6% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
63
Asset volume
12,005.77 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0029159354C9d7a5c4a67B4D710Ac13cB12e4a6E.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 12006 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0029159354C9d7a5c4a67B4D710Ac13cB12e4a6E.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/27/2026, 5:14:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (93% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (7%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
785.59 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0029159354C9d7a5c4a67B4D710Ac13cB12e4a6E
Net sender
Unknown type
560.45 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0015216C123A2532e9bf6b0Af42402Ae0f0ACFC7
Net sender
Unknown type
121.82 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0054AC5475929f1c6bAaa2347fD90c2ede8e5174
Net sender
Unknown type
103.32 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 785.59 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/27/2026, 5:13:30 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/27/2026, 5:12:30 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate54 tx
12,005.77 QUAI • 63 addresses
07/27/2026, 5:14:30 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/27/2026, 5:11:31 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/27/2026, 5:15:30 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/27/2026, 5:10:30 A.M.
+3 min
50 tx
2,072.39 QUAI • 60 addresses
07/27/2026, 5:16:30 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/27/2026, 5:09:30 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
560.45 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/27/2026, 5:14:02 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0029159354C9d7a5c4a67B4D710Ac13cB12e4a6E
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
103.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/27/2026, 5:14:10 A.M.
From: 0x0054AC5475929f1c6bAaa2347fD90c2ede8e5174
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002f00613d805fbfb2908c54841fe04a553b8c165501f724dfc02908c55283f8
121.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/27/2026, 5:14:02 A.M.
From: 0x0015216C123A2532e9bf6b0Af42402Ae0f0ACFC7
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00620005eceb101f44ff6135e0a3f8181941201a4988cb4e4ff1b0399ef99a67
560.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/27/2026, 5:14:02 A.M.
From: 0x0029159354C9d7a5c4a67B4D710Ac13cB12e4a6E
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004f004f2eb656d8b03b6bbb775d1127a1525e902d93066423d23f9d156f7dff