Spike bucket
07/27/2026, 4:54:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/27/2026, 4:54:00 A.M. to 07/27/2026, 4:55:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
4% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 39.3
Unexplained QUAI: 964.78
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 76% of explained volume
Relative context
5.2x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
2
66.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
1,004.08 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x003D2640393d6d2422c3B00849b8b539BB8D1688 • 0x003b50Ab3Dfe23e7D7165FD5a5622cA3481976CD.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 1004 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x003D2640393d6d2422c3B00849b8b539BB8D1688 • 0x003b50Ab3Dfe23e7D7165FD5a5622cA3481976CD.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/27/2026, 4:54:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (96% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (4%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x003D2640393d6d2422c3B00849b8b539BB8D1688
Net sender
Unknown type
30 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003b50Ab3Dfe23e7D7165FD5a5622cA3481976CD
Net receiver
Unknown type
30 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00008d4e44B7BE78a3df07C2c3279954474c3fFA
Net sender
Unknown type
9.3 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006a27E63Dd6091322285ea6DFa62A318c5F308e
Net receiver
Unknown type
9.3 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/27/2026, 4:53:30 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/27/2026, 4:52:30 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate3 tx
1,004.08 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/27/2026, 4:54:30 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/27/2026, 4:51:30 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/27/2026, 4:55:30 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
134.41 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/27/2026, 4:50:30 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/27/2026, 4:56:30 A.M.
-4 min
4 tx
407.42 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/27/2026, 4:49:30 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
30 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/27/2026, 4:54:14 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x003D2640393d6d2422c3B00849b8b539BB8D1688
To: 0x003b50Ab3Dfe23e7D7165FD5a5622cA3481976CD
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
30 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/27/2026, 4:54:14 A.M.
From: 0x003D2640393d6d2422c3B00849b8b539BB8D1688
To: 0x003b50Ab3Dfe23e7D7165FD5a5622cA3481976CD
Tx: 0x007b0034ef8844db14ef7307817c68d32bb2ce3ec14962cdf061f8b4b50a2385
9.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/27/2026, 4:54:14 A.M.
From: 0x00008d4e44B7BE78a3df07C2c3279954474c3fFA
To: 0x006a27E63Dd6091322285ea6DFa62A318c5F308e
Tx: 0x002a001d5c8cec4f99ddef595e39f0a678acea7be2900bc644912feb5dc817dd