Spike bucket
07/27/2026, 4:06:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/27/2026, 4:06:00 A.M. to 07/27/2026, 4:07:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 31,877.66
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 63% of explained volume
Relative context
3.0x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
11,876.43 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 11876 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/27/2026, 4:06:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.82 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
19,998.82 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net sender
Unknown type
11,876.43 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
Net receiver
Unknown type
11,876.43 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
Net sender
Unknown type
2.41 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 19,998.82 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/27/2026, 4:05:30 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/27/2026, 4:04:30 A.M.
+1 min
1 tx
11,876.43 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/27/2026, 4:06:30 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
10.03 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/27/2026, 4:03:31 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate2 tx
20,001.23 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/27/2026, 4:07:30 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/27/2026, 4:02:30 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/27/2026, 4:08:30 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/27/2026, 4:01:30 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,998.82 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/27/2026, 4:06:36 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
2.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/27/2026, 4:06:48 A.M.
From: 0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
To: 0x0045B1d3bC500d6fBE8A0503d158B530137dA78d
Tx: 0x00220066c056cdf2c4b1336984e351bc71d6f0516e666235a4d05931cde8881c
19,998.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/27/2026, 4:06:36 A.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0061000a8bb0b414de4200c990b0941374ddfcd8ba626a5dd827ddeb5b1ae8aa
11,876.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/27/2026, 4:06:11 A.M.
From: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
To: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
Tx: 0x006b0059bcddb47b4a380ed9f64686b9b8f82f4ad49345c52bf10f23bcd0acbf