Spike bucket
07/27/2026, 2:36:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/27/2026, 2:36:00 A.M. to 07/27/2026, 2:37:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
95% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,706.52
Unexplained QUAI: 207.88
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 55% of explained volume
Relative context
0.6x above local average
1.2x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
14
Observable rows
11
78.6% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
25
Asset volume
3,914.4 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x0043f6a0860c43D4fC91706A411d81a5fed7412c.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + medium confidence + 3914 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x0043f6a0860c43D4fC91706A411d81a5fed7412c.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/27/2026, 2:36:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
2,920.2 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x0043f6a0860c43D4fC91706A411d81a5fed7412c
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,050.64 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
351.88 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
347.04 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0041C4936720D07A076B902317FB4ac07dd9f5D5
Net receiver
Unknown type
307.98 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
7 tx
1,284.76 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/27/2026, 2:35:58 A.M.
-1 min
6 tx
3,171.19 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/27/2026, 2:34:58 A.M.
+1 min
14 tx
3,914.4 QUAI • 25 addresses
07/27/2026, 2:36:59 A.M.
-2 min
7 tx
3,021.73 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/27/2026, 2:33:58 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
1,315.81 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/27/2026, 2:37:58 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate28 tx
26,539.87 QUAI • 37 addresses
07/27/2026, 2:32:58 A.M.
+3 min
14 tx
7,254.52 QUAI • 23 addresses
07/27/2026, 2:38:58 A.M.
-4 min
14 tx
3,891.16 QUAI • 26 addresses
07/27/2026, 2:32:01 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,050.64 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/27/2026, 2:36:55 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0043f6a0860c43D4fC91706A411d81a5fed7412c
All transfers in this selected minute
11 transactions
2,050.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/27/2026, 2:36:55 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0043f6a0860c43D4fC91706A411d81a5fed7412c
Tx: 0x000d005679cec31798554188560f5fa872961238963b44c5bfbb2a71ceed069a
47.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/27/2026, 2:36:33 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0043ed68403e4cDb6f787D36C11B0b767f78105f
Tx: 0x0046001a6461748246e8827314fde01e5b7fd7364efaac63bceb3ffc954598cf
235.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/27/2026, 2:36:27 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0042934C363f66F0a200a4D010c3d11f15359634
Tx: 0x0077004d9e063f0870ce988b14ff7c7512d51895eb76d4c532ccd7d49af0215b
159.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/27/2026, 2:36:27 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x007c36aFFd5462Bd7aA58D497830Ff9Ed86f5656
Tx: 0x00120077942e8abe04ef014c3ac8e229f77c2e76f310ab6af957840a13d7750e
39.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/27/2026, 2:36:23 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x007C3141e22eFb3D184EBdD4aA039d476fa1DE43
Tx: 0x0059000841b661fbac9a4e639ae255e9f531a8c188e088658223d8ed25d0c29f
175.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/27/2026, 2:36:23 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003d0A679462BC30C22CAC78fb18366ca4b9f383
Tx: 0x004a001ca13d422ed1fa7bb116717c4aeddfc19006476e0d8b0276a2a002a567
307.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/27/2026, 2:36:23 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0041C4936720D07A076B902317FB4ac07dd9f5D5
Tx: 0x006e000b27b3d77fe93d7231e9252e8919c8da242eaa5aeaaacb8650940f2cce
175.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/27/2026, 2:36:12 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003CD21067CE200255E205D293B031cf2C23C632
Tx: 0x002f006c25c8ca12ba193d93a49898aff811456163d5915a5e118321523883d8
148.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/27/2026, 2:36:12 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0079c5eE80Af5B01AAc16B07A02eA44b126F62b3
Tx: 0x006e00041c8706f0d67ab4a5723666a9305fddaf8159450db5868f66abb497ca
278.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/27/2026, 2:36:12 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0041164B493EABffaa007A24972a145a8D15eE74
Tx: 0x001c005d683285096ebbee624b27cb90c8a6b9e4ac72ad9ab3ff36c762859b23
87.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/27/2026, 2:36:12 A.M.
From: 0x003ada29b6dD1C0a76faD05047Eb93b6D2589B8E
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x00510017b2a552e6165986d349cb07df0614f703425c65fca9f9bddf47714ac2
