Spike bucket
07/26/2026, 10:46:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/26/2026, 10:46:00 P.M. to 07/26/2026, 10:47:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
8% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,211.63
Unexplained QUAI: 26,136
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
3.2x above local average
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
3
60.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
23
Asset volume
28,347.63 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004c97213D8bB7f6636cB5Be790c16eC491BFa59 • 0x0072E296d3EFe8B6707a08A45660d8a575b52Cfe.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 28348 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 50
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004c97213D8bB7f6636cB5Be790c16eC491BFa59 • 0x0072E296d3EFe8B6707a08A45660d8a575b52Cfe.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/26/2026, 10:46:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (92% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (8%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004c97213D8bB7f6636cB5Be790c16eC491BFa59
Net sender
Unknown type
2,200.63 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0072E296d3EFe8B6707a08A45660d8a575b52Cfe
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,200.63 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003D2640393d6d2422c3B00849b8b539BB8D1688
Net sender
Unknown type
10 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006AE7d5852e8D8F33C8b51A74B52AdE1790A46f
Net receiver
Unknown type
10 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0019959180a173263B4756F11fe6B057f7Ce4625
Net sender
Unknown type
1 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
16,001 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/26/2026, 10:45:40 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/26/2026, 10:44:40 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate5 tx
28,347.63 QUAI • 23 addresses
07/26/2026, 10:46:41 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
3 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/26/2026, 10:43:40 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
1 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/26/2026, 10:47:40 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
3,994 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/26/2026, 10:42:41 P.M.
+3 min
15 tx
9,658.3 QUAI • 25 addresses
07/26/2026, 10:48:41 P.M.
-4 min
22 tx
13,071.82 QUAI • 36 addresses
07/26/2026, 10:41:41 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,200.63 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/26/2026, 10:46:05 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004c97213D8bB7f6636cB5Be790c16eC491BFa59
To: 0x0072E296d3EFe8B6707a08A45660d8a575b52Cfe
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/26/2026, 10:46:48 P.M.
From: 0x0019959180a173263B4756F11fe6B057f7Ce4625
To: 0x0008159eF6d55C4e0Ddb6D6fC8b6095a45C58144
Tx: 0x00180044b1623e9b7118f8e9e4d757e28d40d1e8239c211654dd90a92635d37a
10 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/26/2026, 10:46:22 P.M.
From: 0x003D2640393d6d2422c3B00849b8b539BB8D1688
To: 0x006AE7d5852e8D8F33C8b51A74B52AdE1790A46f
Tx: 0x00580020250c89c8a5e01b8b114214d7d234d6509bd3bd283bd413075d066a58
2,200.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/26/2026, 10:46:05 P.M.
From: 0x004c97213D8bB7f6636cB5Be790c16eC491BFa59
To: 0x0072E296d3EFe8B6707a08A45660d8a575b52Cfe
Tx: 0x0028007ea85ef6cc75136e8027bea1dfe52830df2f6c3bdc8f0fced62073c821