Spike bucket
07/26/2026, 8:31:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/26/2026, 8:31:00 P.M. to 07/26/2026, 8:32:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
9% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,892.62
Unexplained QUAI: 18,106.38
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
3.5x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
1
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
11
Asset volume
19,999 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00495F2290B8B69fcf7Ae356395aBf7DbeC49aD7 • 0x004d9e4F409D06A0e67F754FC49f63753B8648D7.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 19999 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00495F2290B8B69fcf7Ae356395aBf7DbeC49aD7 • 0x004d9e4F409D06A0e67F754FC49f63753B8648D7.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 visible transfer row
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/26/2026, 8:31:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (91% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 transfer row • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (9%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00495F2290B8B69fcf7Ae356395aBf7DbeC49aD7
Net sender
Unknown type
1,892.62 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004d9e4F409D06A0e67F754FC49f63753B8648D7
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,892.62 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/26/2026, 8:30:40 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/26/2026, 8:29:40 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate1 tx
19,999 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/26/2026, 8:31:41 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/26/2026, 8:28:40 P.M.
+2 min
3 tx
14,825.24 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/26/2026, 8:32:40 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
11,434.12 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/26/2026, 8:27:40 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/26/2026, 8:33:40 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/26/2026, 8:26:40 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,892.62 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/26/2026, 8:31:56 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00495F2290B8B69fcf7Ae356395aBf7DbeC49aD7
To: 0x004d9e4F409D06A0e67F754FC49f63753B8648D7
All transfers in this selected minute
1 transactions
1,892.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/26/2026, 8:31:56 P.M.
From: 0x00495F2290B8B69fcf7Ae356395aBf7DbeC49aD7
To: 0x004d9e4F409D06A0e67F754FC49f63753B8648D7
Tx: 0x00450034f21c7b2cefbe29b9c255c6e57e7afb4a2a3023cd5e9ff64271425cb1