Spike bucket
07/26/2026, 7:20:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/26/2026, 7:20:00 P.M. to 07/26/2026, 7:21:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
92% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 692.15
Unexplained QUAI: 59.95
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 38% of explained volume
Relative context
1.5x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
6
85.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
752.1 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + medium confidence + 752 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/26/2026, 7:20:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
367.15 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
Net sender
Unknown type
314.09 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0028C5534d930C7dc406cA080c6AcAa4a93a1BF6
Net receiver
Unknown type
262.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007de96950a40303EA94BCfb04e223A095a7eb36
Net sender
Unknown type
256.45 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Net sender
Unknown type
110.7 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 367.15 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/26/2026, 7:19:40 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/26/2026, 7:18:40 P.M.
+1 min
7 tx
752.1 QUAI • 21 addresses
07/26/2026, 7:20:40 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/26/2026, 7:17:40 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
51.9 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/26/2026, 7:21:41 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/26/2026, 7:16:40 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/26/2026, 7:22:40 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate30 tx
3,321.05 QUAI • 41 addresses
07/26/2026, 7:15:41 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
262.19 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/26/2026, 7:20:19 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
To: 0x0028C5534d930C7dc406cA080c6AcAa4a93a1BF6
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
51.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/26/2026, 7:20:57 P.M.
From: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
To: 0x00593fCB361067F2F1770015Dc5A6bF22782afDa
Tx: 0x0065007fd9aa93c6acc47a88b4e9b64b6c0704da20fb9e133714e7179bc6ae2e
110.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/26/2026, 7:20:26 P.M.
From: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00670054e30fda2c20caf209237bbdd9fc4e3aa9a5b8cb8f0994d3f6ce244c29
256.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/26/2026, 7:20:26 P.M.
From: 0x007de96950a40303EA94BCfb04e223A095a7eb36
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00500034157e7a3383f78c9035ff6348fee426b402fa0cb39d26c7ff2fefbfb6
5.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/26/2026, 7:20:19 P.M.
From: 0x000189e3D372a3Df760F5909eC1510b86296F91a
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x004e007c2c670ffd05b542318484fa96349e2dccea036b1e149d7f172be391de
5.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/26/2026, 7:20:19 P.M.
From: 0x002FF3BF8a0F2616e264868A64886C15eb911C6C
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0062005b40c106c27120846bd7f9f41b274ddd20012c9256772875c32126b353
262.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/26/2026, 7:20:19 P.M.
From: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
To: 0x0028C5534d930C7dc406cA080c6AcAa4a93a1BF6
Tx: 0x001f005c627251a609ea35064bfeebd0f643ffc04bd949011796c1d2d568d85a
