Spike bucket
07/26/2026, 4:11:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/26/2026, 4:11:00 P.M. to 07/26/2026, 4:12:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
26% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 5,124.03
Unexplained QUAI: 14,936.9
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 98% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
1.4x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
35
Asset volume
20,060.93 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0038f0Ff6c565Fab30980Cc223016D65Fb0d8dCa.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 20061 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0038f0Ff6c565Fab30980Cc223016D65Fb0d8dCa.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/26/2026, 4:11:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (74% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (26%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
5,124.03 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0038f0Ff6c565Fab30980Cc223016D65Fb0d8dCa
Net sender
Unknown type
4,999.72 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004FDE72b734dd6a52DD0F2363cFC75ef35a55AE
Net sender
Unknown type
124.3 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 5,124.03 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
9 tx
14,066.07 QUAI • 41 addresses
07/26/2026, 4:10:12 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
20,060.93 QUAI • 35 addresses
07/26/2026, 4:11:38 P.M.
+2 min
89 tx
54,658.61 QUAI • 119 addresses
07/26/2026, 4:12:38 P.M.
+3 min
13 tx
6,460.55 QUAI • 41 addresses
07/26/2026, 4:13:36 P.M.
+4 min
11 tx
47,268.51 QUAI • 41 addresses
07/26/2026, 4:14:36 P.M.
+5 min
Best candidate143 tx
383,546.08 QUAI • 166 addresses
07/26/2026, 4:15:39 P.M.
+6 min
65 tx
80,893.73 QUAI • 93 addresses
07/26/2026, 4:16:38 P.M.
+7 min
63 tx
94,851.28 QUAI • 94 addresses
07/26/2026, 4:17:36 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
4,999.72 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/26/2026, 4:11:17 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0038f0Ff6c565Fab30980Cc223016D65Fb0d8dCa
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
124.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/26/2026, 4:11:17 P.M.
From: 0x004FDE72b734dd6a52DD0F2363cFC75ef35a55AE
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00070003ea169b1243a17ccd6dd8b4c20cf96838bfe0c606a3786f72b94e4d70
4,999.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/26/2026, 4:11:17 P.M.
From: 0x0038f0Ff6c565Fab30980Cc223016D65Fb0d8dCa
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007e0051cea68a00215223288ed5648a35d6b08664f5b84f942429af9ee5ee5e