Spike bucket
07/26/2026, 4:10:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/26/2026, 4:10:00 P.M. to 07/26/2026, 4:11:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
7% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,010.74
Unexplained QUAI: 13,055.33
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.7x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
2
22.2% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
41
Asset volume
14,066.07 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x000CDB0223e19ab0957b5F1f6Cde7EE7B5e2141e • 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 14066 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x000CDB0223e19ab0957b5F1f6Cde7EE7B5e2141e • 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/26/2026, 4:10:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (93% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (7%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x000CDB0223e19ab0957b5F1f6Cde7EE7B5e2141e
Net sender
Unknown type
1,007.43 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,007.43 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
Net sender
Unknown type
3.31 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0045B1d3bC500d6fBE8A0503d158B530137dA78d
Net receiver
Unknown type
3.31 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
9 tx
14,066.07 QUAI • 41 addresses
07/26/2026, 4:10:12 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
20,060.93 QUAI • 35 addresses
07/26/2026, 4:11:38 P.M.
+3 min
89 tx
54,658.61 QUAI • 119 addresses
07/26/2026, 4:12:38 P.M.
+4 min
13 tx
6,460.55 QUAI • 41 addresses
07/26/2026, 4:13:36 P.M.
+5 min
11 tx
47,268.51 QUAI • 41 addresses
07/26/2026, 4:14:36 P.M.
+6 min
Best candidate143 tx
383,546.08 QUAI • 166 addresses
07/26/2026, 4:15:39 P.M.
+7 min
65 tx
80,893.73 QUAI • 93 addresses
07/26/2026, 4:16:38 P.M.
+8 min
63 tx
94,851.28 QUAI • 94 addresses
07/26/2026, 4:17:36 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,007.43 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/26/2026, 4:10:05 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x000CDB0223e19ab0957b5F1f6Cde7EE7B5e2141e
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
1,007.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/26/2026, 4:10:05 P.M.
From: 0x000CDB0223e19ab0957b5F1f6Cde7EE7B5e2141e
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0015002d2d01e589552c24fe90df505ab7f88307e60996d4f14f201aa3185500
3.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/26/2026, 4:10:05 P.M.
From: 0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
To: 0x0045B1d3bC500d6fBE8A0503d158B530137dA78d
Tx: 0x000c00736d73cc149756b5a2d2feb65348d08e824c5525d48f747376e56c4c4a