Spike bucket
07/26/2026, 12:08:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/26/2026, 12:08:00 P.M. to 07/26/2026, 12:09:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 61,221.18
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 64% of explained volume
Relative context
2.1x above local average
2.0x previous minute
0.6x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
39,486.47 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0019d56C6a7028799429a27A56C93b45Fe0D76Dd.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 39486 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0019d56C6a7028799429a27A56C93b45Fe0D76Dd.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/26/2026, 12:08:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
61,221.18 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0019d56C6a7028799429a27A56C93b45Fe0D76Dd
Net sender
Unknown type
39,486.12 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.81 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002E29584b82702846500391f29783b9872ce19E
Net sender
Unknown type
1,736.25 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 61,221.18 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
39,486.47 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/26/2026, 12:08:21 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
20,001.62 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/26/2026, 12:06:21 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate5 tx
64,004.35 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/26/2026, 12:10:21 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/26/2026, 12:04:21 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/26/2026, 12:12:21 P.M.
-6 min
3 tx
9,057.79 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/26/2026, 12:02:21 P.M.
+6 min
52 tx
1,165.41 QUAI • 59 addresses
07/26/2026, 12:14:22 P.M.
-8 min
2 tx
20,110.96 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/26/2026, 12:00:21 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
39,486.12 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/26/2026, 12:08:28 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0019d56C6a7028799429a27A56C93b45Fe0D76Dd
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
19,998.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/26/2026, 12:08:28 P.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00670054d1fc962c747ee4976fa3a14009fc4a6ccee4974681c2d9a1fc9a885a
1,736.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/26/2026, 12:08:28 P.M.
From: 0x002E29584b82702846500391f29783b9872ce19E
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0004004468f7061b13582feac469a488674186b09b185b1a5a6d752fc9458074
39,486.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/26/2026, 12:08:28 P.M.
From: 0x0019d56C6a7028799429a27A56C93b45Fe0D76Dd
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0058001dab93bd49f6196175eca01a6a39c7c0a0ce9783f68ba438fed7b21783