Spike bucket
07/26/2026, 10:19:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/26/2026, 10:19:00 A.M. to 07/26/2026, 10:20:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 534.8
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 20% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.2x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
22
Asset volume
524.55 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0015216C123A2532e9bf6b0Af42402Ae0f0ACFC7.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 525 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0015216C123A2532e9bf6b0Af42402Ae0f0ACFC7.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/26/2026, 10:19:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
524.55 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0015216C123A2532e9bf6b0Af42402Ae0f0ACFC7
Net sender
Unknown type
109.4 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00734b901cF8B9d636C2E5cAAb3c38BC738AEb90
Net sender
Unknown type
107.72 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0008265266808AbB4675E8589165d96A1e7199d2
Net sender
Unknown type
104.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004f8411bABfC122BB6CD9665C885D4e049ED49f
Net sender
Unknown type
101.62 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 524.55 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
39 tx
2,623.61 QUAI • 52 addresses
07/26/2026, 10:17:53 A.M.
+1 min
5 tx
524.55 QUAI • 22 addresses
07/26/2026, 10:19:52 A.M.
-3 min
50 tx
730.28 QUAI • 65 addresses
07/26/2026, 10:15:53 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate6 tx
20,025.89 QUAI • 25 addresses
07/26/2026, 10:21:53 A.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/26/2026, 10:13:52 A.M.
+5 min
1 tx
95.71 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/26/2026, 10:23:52 A.M.
-7 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/26/2026, 10:11:39 A.M.
+7 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/26/2026, 10:25:52 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
109.4 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/26/2026, 10:19:32 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0015216C123A2532e9bf6b0Af42402Ae0f0ACFC7
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
4.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/26/2026, 10:19:52 A.M.
From: 0x0038797E44cCBbE9D76347DC75A71448386543B6
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0076000a6b8667c3fb89528081ce7b7daa1aa6f3f067c5b57a22ce2d0295ed1a
5.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/26/2026, 10:19:52 A.M.
From: 0x006de603b1d5c1c9d0042B566d2918DE2becF53B
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0040003fcab6a32b152761463e253175e7d0222d471351a9082c1d3687ba49c9
101.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/26/2026, 10:19:48 A.M.
From: 0x002a4A65718F725ee28124D06367A77743fFe4c1
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005e0055b32abba686c26cabdb9ad64804de382cd96b9859b4d96c256c6d3c15
107.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/26/2026, 10:19:48 A.M.
From: 0x00734b901cF8B9d636C2E5cAAb3c38BC738AEb90
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00090030912e621d4d0c0da7cd3d78d6c1e0f698af34f5796b963a4ff528d2e2
104.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/26/2026, 10:19:48 A.M.
From: 0x0008265266808AbB4675E8589165d96A1e7199d2
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002c005dd82dde259ba7fe951d62b3e69eed7c41bb8b1f456742c85a2d56d373
101.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/26/2026, 10:19:48 A.M.
From: 0x004f8411bABfC122BB6CD9665C885D4e049ED49f
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004a0020003ca3bfad4ef2858a51a518a9c0aed32f998702fdee1441431d0506
109.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/26/2026, 10:19:32 A.M.
From: 0x0015216C123A2532e9bf6b0Af42402Ae0f0ACFC7
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0011007ab748e7c6b5d1f8930e9ab7824f2e90c06e9ec1092c91e13113fd1a7b
