Spike bucket
07/26/2026, 8:08:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/26/2026, 8:08:00 A.M. to 07/26/2026, 8:09:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
14% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,750.94
Unexplained QUAI: 17,250.63
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 46% of explained volume
Relative context
2.4x above local average
2.3x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
20,001.57 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0029159354C9d7a5c4a67B4D710Ac13cB12e4a6E.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 20002 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0029159354C9d7a5c4a67B4D710Ac13cB12e4a6E.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/26/2026, 8:08:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (86% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (14%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
2,750.94 QUAI across 6 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0029159354C9d7a5c4a67B4D710Ac13cB12e4a6E
Net sender
Unknown type
1,269.11 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004D39B55B52eCD6F0868eAF17A5480945e280A8
Net sender
Unknown type
507.54 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0051589c20c542525f2a1c8C9f5d8Bf62f5b16CC
Net sender
Unknown type
490.82 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0054403727995A1b50197b34D7D6E64e70C068e1
Net sender
Unknown type
163.43 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 2,750.94 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
20,001.57 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/26/2026, 8:08:22 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/26/2026, 8:06:22 A.M.
+2 min
7 tx
8,750.94 QUAI • 22 addresses
07/26/2026, 8:10:22 A.M.
-4 min
3 tx
11,189.39 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/26/2026, 8:04:22 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/26/2026, 8:12:22 A.M.
-6 min
Best candidate8 tx
23,132.53 QUAI • 20 addresses
07/26/2026, 8:02:22 A.M.
+6 min
50 tx
535.68 QUAI • 62 addresses
07/26/2026, 8:14:23 A.M.
-8 min
3 tx
3,839.07 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/26/2026, 8:00:22 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,269.11 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/26/2026, 8:08:24 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0029159354C9d7a5c4a67B4D710Ac13cB12e4a6E
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
1,269.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/26/2026, 8:08:24 A.M.
From: 0x0029159354C9d7a5c4a67B4D710Ac13cB12e4a6E
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007e0071c91b50198d9415a03bd5239233211c67ce42bdcba817560ddf4afe12
158.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/26/2026, 8:08:24 A.M.
From: 0x0055A661dD998d678DE30FBaceCc284ef40206A1
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002e0022022c04d2f15421cf4b6825250382782e69fa7ffb7996fbe72eee457b
507.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/26/2026, 8:08:24 A.M.
From: 0x004D39B55B52eCD6F0868eAF17A5480945e280A8
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0015000951d19881966bcaf86ebfeb2e9ffb3d840eac71601885cc2c57de6829
161.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/26/2026, 8:08:24 A.M.
From: 0x002e1348FC22fC32fCd7cf87e77EF2BF9698595E
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005c003f3394fd1166b5e0145b708dc17327bbc6ccf04c43bd91d131f3ec0803
163.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/26/2026, 8:08:24 A.M.
From: 0x0054403727995A1b50197b34D7D6E64e70C068e1
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001600636241077b75dc04f07e02fc85d6fc19f1ea91c194219f98ee9fdbc9ef
490.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/26/2026, 8:08:24 A.M.
From: 0x0051589c20c542525f2a1c8C9f5d8Bf62f5b16CC
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00320018ae23afa9ed446b3bb8aa59ed8fe3f6ee3a3d40d9d4177ad0aa364c44
