Spike bucket
07/25/2026, 7:19:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/25/2026, 7:19:00 P.M. to 07/25/2026, 7:20:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 30.74
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 33% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.0x previous minute
0.9x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
7
Asset volume
30.74 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 31 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/25/2026, 7:19:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
20.74 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
Net sender
Unknown type
10 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Net receiver
Unknown type
10 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006218653c98DeE29002F0d26DBf7b20Fcdca27b
Net sender
Unknown type
6.05 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0038797E44cCBbE9D76347DC75A71448386543B6
Net sender
Unknown type
5.45 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
5,305.93 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/25/2026, 7:18:44 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
10,853.22 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/25/2026, 7:16:44 P.M.
+2 min
6 tx
32.74 QUAI • 22 addresses
07/25/2026, 7:20:36 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate54 tx
39,160.27 QUAI • 73 addresses
07/25/2026, 7:14:45 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
3,002 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/25/2026, 7:22:48 P.M.
-6 min
56 tx
19,205.98 QUAI • 73 addresses
07/25/2026, 7:12:45 P.M.
+6 min
3 tx
7,254.74 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/25/2026, 7:24:48 P.M.
-8 min
2 tx
8,920.89 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/25/2026, 7:10:44 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
10 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 7:19:28 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
5.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 7:19:41 P.M.
From: 0x0038797E44cCBbE9D76347DC75A71448386543B6
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0047004de176fc86b434f8172c50b8ebb8019beb5bc6b84a466318a76d05ee63
4.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 7:19:41 P.M.
From: 0x000B95935c61C15dcb48021b5A55a695eae4ae26
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00530040adedfef6e360c82ab39097c8c07b86fd38d410061f0b20de609cc08f
6.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 7:19:41 P.M.
From: 0x006218653c98DeE29002F0d26DBf7b20Fcdca27b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0004000403951e219dc58c89d16bc966a6e61a7c0aa92e279cdce0ab6176b9cd
4.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 7:19:41 P.M.
From: 0x000Ddec2aDbe15C20b25198596a3BfB0DD59f973
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x004f007a4886321f2267ee7b1cdd573241411dc54b1d2079a54b5457cb68d70c
10 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 7:19:28 P.M.
From: 0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x007f001a8ad3d23cf462384261052745e2b140e97b860787d50b0f7443751116